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Comcast CEO sees 160Mbps internet in 2008

Remember that blisteringly fast channel bonding modem Comcast showed off earlier this year?  Turns out that the firm's CEO is apparently aiming to roll out internet services that can reach up to 160Mbps down / 120Mbps up sometime in 2008.  As in, next year.

Engadget Darren Murph

Context & Ripple Effects

Brian Roberts has been building this reveal all year: in May he personally demonstrated a channel-bonding modem on stage, and coverage framed him as cable's technology showman (GigaOM's profile of Roberts ran the next day). What changed by December is that the promise now carries a date — 160Mbps down / 120Mbps up in 2008, via bonding multiple channels rather than laying new plant.

First-order effects

  • Comcast's speed pitch lands mid-scandal: within weeks of this announcement, the company faces confirmed FCC complaints, a lawsuit, and an open letter over its BitTorrent throttling — selling 160Mbps while degrading peer-to-peer hands critics their strongest talking point.
  • Roberts converts a trade-show demo into a product roadmap, forcing Comcast to commit to real deployment dates and modem availability instead of lab demonstrations.

Second-order effects

  • Channel-bonded tiers make headline speed the battleground for cable broadband, pressuring every competing provider to respond with faster advertised tiers or cede the top of the market.
  • Scaling to 160Mbps raises the stakes on Comcast's traffic-management practices: the more capacity sold, the less defensible protocol-level throttling looks to the regulators already reviewing the company.

Third-order effects

  • If the 2008 rollout holds, cable operators compete on software-defined capacity upgrades over existing coax rather than new infrastructure, resetting what consumers expect a 'broadband' tier to mean.
  • The pairing of record speeds with active neutrality litigation sets the template for the next regulatory fight: capacity abundance claimed in marketing versus traffic treatment audited by the FCC.

The trend: Cable broadband is entering a speed arms race built on channel bonding, with net-neutrality disputes over peer-to-peer traffic running directly underneath it.