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Xbox 360 tops PS3, trails Wii in initial holiday sales

Microsoft sold more than 310,000 Xbox 360s last week in the United States, according to data released by the company this morning.  The number essentially completes the statistical picture for the first week of holiday console sales.

Todd Bishop's Microsoft Blog Todd Bishop

Context & Ripple Effects

The 310,000-plus figure is Microsoft's own number, released this morning to close out the first-week statistical picture of the US holiday console race — and it positions the console that sold 39% of its Japan launch stock in two days as the middle runner at home: ahead of Sony's PS3, behind Nintendo's Wii. The syndicated pickup by Wired News under the headline "Why You Can't Get Your Hands on a Wii" frames the gap as a supply story as much as a demand one.

The result extends an install-base lead Microsoft has been monetizing since early last year, when group data counted 600,000 Xbox 360 game units sold in the US. It also lands days before the December 4 Fall Dashboard Update, which adds social networking features to Xbox Live — timing that turns each holiday sale into a subscription and services prospect rather than a one-time hardware transaction.

First-order effects

  • Sony enters December with its newest console outsold in week one by both competitors in the US, putting pressure on its holiday pricing and bundle messaging.
  • Nintendo's supply constraint becomes the story of its own success: demand it cannot fulfill redirects some holiday buyers toward the 360.

Second-order effects

  • Third-party publishers allocate marketing and shelf space toward the platform where the attach base is deepest — the dynamic behind the earlier 600,000-unit game-sales figure — reinforcing the 360's software advantage over the PS3.
  • Microsoft's December 4 Dashboard update converts the hardware spike into recurring Xbox Live engagement, raising the switching cost for households that bought a 360 this week instead of waiting on Wii restocks.

Third-order effects

  • If weekly manufacturer-reported numbers remain the industry's public scoreboard, the console race will be fought in the press over short windows, rewarding companies like Microsoft that control their own release cadence.
  • Nintendo's strategy of winning on accessibility rather than processing power — evidenced by leading this holiday week despite shortages — points the market toward a split between a mass-market console and two high-spec contenders.

The trend: The current-generation console war is settling into a three-way contest scored by weekly self-reported sales figures, with Nintendo's broader-audience Wii setting the pace and Microsoft leveraging services to defend second place against Sony.