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Chronicles

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Microsoft as Media King?

The software giant sees its future in advertising and mobile and is taking the message to Europe—and to Google and Yahoo!  —  Most people still see Microsoft primarily as a software company, but on Oct. 2 at a media event in Paris, Chief Executive Steve Ballmer painted …

Business Week Jennifer L. Schenker

Context & Ripple Effects

Ballmer's Oct. 2 Paris media event is the public-relations leg of a push Microsoft has been building all year: Gates made the case for the ad business back in May (Gates makes case for Microsoft's ad business), and the company laid out its expansion plans to US press just a day before the Paris appearance (Microsoft to Increase Ad Business). The message is deliberate repositioning — from software licensor to advertising-and-mobile player — aimed squarely at Google and Yahoo.

The competitive backdrop is consolidating fast: Yahoo has just cleared US antitrust review for its BlueLithium acquisition, giving it another ad network, while Google is still experimenting with how ads fit social spaces — it pulled ads from Orkut in August after running them on only 1% of pages, amid Brazilian complaints over the service's content. Reaction was split at home: TechCrunch argued Ballmer could be right about where value is heading, while Robert Scoble contended Ballmer still doesn't understand social networking.

First-order effects

  • Microsoft is taking its advertising and mobile pitch directly to European advertisers and media buyers, opening a front in Google's and Yahoo's home-turf markets rather than competing only in the US.
  • Yahoo's newly FTC-cleared BlueLithium acquisition raises the stakes in the ad-network land grab Microsoft is now publicly contesting.

Second-order effects

  • Google and Yahoo face pressure to answer with their own European ad-platform commitments, since Microsoft's entry threatens to bid up inventory and talent across the region.
  • Publishers and mobile carriers gain a third major bidder alongside Google and Yahoo, improving their negotiating position on ad rates and partnerships.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, the largest software companies are structurally becoming advertising-funded media businesses, with monetization shifting from per-license sales toward audience-based models — a shift whose success for Microsoft is genuinely unproven given its late start versus Google.
  • Mobile is emerging as the decisive battleground for this convergence, since it is the one surface where none of the three players has yet locked in dominant ad distribution.

The trend: Platform giants are converging on advertising as their core revenue engine, with mobile distribution and social networks as the contested frontier where the next round of positioning will be decided.