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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Paramount adopts HD DVD, kicks Blu-ray to the curb

Just when many observers are beginning to believe that Blu-ray has the next-gen HD format wars all wrapped up, Paramount throws us a major curveball.  The studio has announced that it is abandoning Blu-ray in favor of HD DVD.  Is a shake-up in the works?

Ars Technica Ken Fisher

Context & Ripple Effects

This is the sharpest twist yet in a format war that has been running since late 2005, when the Blu-ray and HD-DVD camps first unveiled dueling player and title lineups at CES and the fight for next-gen DVD control was declared near a critical juncture. Blu-ray had been building a catalog since early 2006 — The Fifth Element, Hitch, House of Flying Daggers, 50 GB dual-layer releases of Black Hawk Down and The Bridge on the River Kwai — and by mid-2007 many observers believed Blu-ray had the war nearly won.

Paramount's exclusive commitment to HD DVD, announced jointly with DreamWorks Animation per Viacom's own release, lands precisely against that narrative. The story traveled fast: CNET, Associated Press, Reuters, and Viacom itself all carried it on or about August 20, 2007, marking it as one of the format war's genuine shock moves rather than a niche trade item.

First-order effects

  • Blu-ray loses a major Hollywood supplier overnight: Paramount's home entertainment slate goes HD DVD-exclusive, removing titles from the Blu-ray catalog it had been building since January 2006.
  • Toshiba's HD DVD camp gains its highest-profile convert at the moment the perceived momentum had shifted to Blu-ray, changing the bargaining position of both camps with the remaining uncommitted studios.

Second-order effects

  • Consumers weighing a next-gen player purchase face renewed format uncertainty, which slows adoption for both sides — the exact outcome neither camp wants but that exclusivity swings like this one produce.
  • Other studios come under pressure to pick sides or extract terms, because each exclusivity deal raises the price of staying neutral as the installed-base race tightens.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, the format war resolves less on technical merit — Blu-ray's larger 50 GB discs versus HD DVD's cheaper manufacturing — than on which camp can lock up studio catalogs, making exclusivity payments the decisive weapon.
  • A prolonged stalemate risks delaying the entire high-definition disc market's takeoff, pushing hardware makers and retailers toward demanding a single standard regardless of which alliance wins.

The trend: The next-generation DVD battle is being decided by studio allegiance and exclusivity deals rather than disc specifications, with each defection resetting the odds for the remaining neutral studios.