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Chronicles

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Europe exec confirms Google Phone

The head of Google in Spain and Portugal has confirmed that Google is working on a mobile phone.  "Some of the time the engineers are dedicated to developing a mobile phone," Isabel Aguilera is quoted as saying on the Spanish news Web site Noticias.com.

CNET News.com Elinor Mills

Context & Ripple Effects

For two days running, the question of whether Google is building a phone has been answered with escalating confidence: Gizmodo flagged the first report out of Google Spain yesterday, and CNET now carries the fuller quote — Isabel Aguilera, who runs Google in Spain and Portugal, saying "some of the time the engineers are dedicated to developing a mobile phone." It is the first on-the-record remark from a named Google executive, though notably vague about whether the output is a device, software, or both.

The timing matters because Google has spent the past several months assembling exactly the pieces a mobile play would need — the GPhone rumors circulating through the supply chain aside, the company has bought YouTube, launched Google Apps at $50 per seat, and picked up JotSpot, all moves consistent with pushing its services off the desktop. A phone would be the endpoint of that arc.

First-order effects

  • Handset makers and carriers now have to price in Google as either a rival or a gatekeeper — if Google controls the phone experience, whoever owns that layer captures the customer relationship and the search revenue that rides on it.
  • Aguilera's wording leaves Google room to walk back the device interpretation, keeping partners like Symbian licensees and Windows Mobile OEMs guessing about whether they face competition or a new distribution channel.

Second-order effects

  • If Google ships a phone with ad-supported services, carrier data-plan pricing and their walled-garden content fees come under direct pressure, since a search-and-ads-funded handset could undercut the operator revenue model.
  • Microsoft and Nokia would be forced to accelerate their own mobile services bundles — email, search, maps — rather than licensing OS alone, shifting competition up the stack from handsets to services.

Third-order effects

  • The structural question raised by Aguilera's confirmation is whether the handset becomes a loss-leader for advertising — the same economics Google applied to web search — which would redraw the industry around audience ownership rather than device sales.
  • Whether the result is hardware, an open platform, or a carrier partnership remains unconfirmed at this point, but any of the three points toward loosening operator control over what software runs on phones.

The trend: Google is extending its advertising-driven model from the PC browser onto the mobile handset, turning a search company into a potential device-maker or platform-owner.