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Firefox 3 Plans and IE8 Speculation - Browsers Heading Apart Again

Mozilla has published a wiki page detailing its plans for the next version of Firefox, codenamed "Gran Paradiso".  The target release date is sometime in the third quarter this year and it hopes to release a major version of Firefox every year.

Read/WriteWeb Richard MacManus

Context & Ripple Effects

This picks up a thread from mid-2006, when coverage of Firefox's next six months framed Mozilla's roadmap question. With the 'Gran Paradiso' wiki now public, Mozilla has answered it concretely: a third-quarter 2007 target for Firefox 3 and an ambition to ship a major version every year.

The framing of the story — browsers 'heading apart again' — rests on an asymmetry: Mozilla's plans are confirmed and documented, while anything about Internet Explorer 8 remains unconfirmed speculation around Microsoft.

First-order effects

  • Extension developers and users get a dated, public roadmap for Firefox 3, with a Q3 2007 release window and a promised annual cadence replacing vague 'next version' timelines.

Second-order effects

  • Microsoft faces pressure to match a yearly major-release rhythm with Internet Explorer, whose post-IE7 plans are so far only rumor — its response cadence becomes the competitive variable.

Third-order effects

  • If both vendors hold to faster cycles, the browser market shifts back into active feature competition after years of stagnation under a single dominant, slow-moving incumbent.

The trend: Browsers are re-entering an annualized release race, with Mozilla publishing its cadence openly and Microsoft's IE8 plans still unconfirmed.