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Google's China portal inaccessible in Shanghai, Beijing

SHANGHAI (AFX) - Google Inc's recently launched China portal was inaccessible in the Chinese cities of Shanghai and Beijing on Friday, although the US-hosted Google.cn site could still be reached from outside China.

Forbes

Context & Ripple Effects

The blackout lands at the worst possible moment for Google's China bet. The company had just launched its self-censoring Google.cn portal, then drew fire when it joined Microsoft, Cisco Systems, and Yahoo in declining to appear at a briefing on China's Internet censorship on February 1, 2006.

The access failure compounds an already bruising week: Google's February 1 earnings miss — blamed on a higher-than-expected tax rate — erased $15.3 billion in market value, so investors are reading any China stumble through the lens of execution risk.

First-order effects

  • Users in Shanghai and Beijing cannot reach the new Google.cn portal during its critical launch window, while the site remains reachable from outside China — pointing to a domestic network-level block rather than a technical failure on Google's side.
  • Google faces intensified political scrutiny over its China strategy immediately after skipping the February 1 censorship briefing, with the outage handing critics evidence of how fragile its compliant presence is.

Second-order effects

  • Domestic portals and rival search providers gain ground with Chinese users during the outage, eroding whatever first-mover attention Google.cn's launch had bought.
  • Advertisers weighing spend across Google's markets must discount the reliability of the China property, a concern sharpened by the same lukewarm quarter and by survey data showing marketers still favor Google ads over Yahoo or MSN elsewhere.

Third-order effects

  • If access volatility around compliant foreign portals proves recurring, market entry into China becomes structurally dependent on state-controlled network availability rather than product quality — a risk every Western internet firm pricing a China expansion must underwrite.
  • The reportedly unconfirmed talk that Google is negotiating to build its own private global IP network suggests carriers and content companies see public-internet reachability itself as a business risk worth spending to escape.

The trend: Foreign search engines entering China are discovering that regulatory compliance does not guarantee availability, as network-level access becomes the decisive lever over their local fortunes.