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Chronicles

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Can Murdoch Win on the Web?

He may spend $1 billion to push DirecTV into high-speed broadband — a risky bet on a hotly contested market that just might pay off  —  Since the late 1990s, satellite TV has created a powerful rival to the cable TV industry.

Business Week Steve Rosenbush

Context & Ripple Effects

Six days after the Financial Times reported DirecTV was closing in on a wireless strategy, Business Week floats the bigger version of that move: an unconfirmed plan under which Murdoch's News Corp could spend roughly $1 billion to put DirecTV into high-speed broadband. The rumor is unconfirmed, but it fits a confirmed pattern — since the late 1990s satellite TV has grown into a genuine rival to cable, and cable's counter-move of bundling internet access with video is exactly the gap this bet would close.

First-order effects

  • DirecTV would stop selling video alone and bundle broadband with its satellite packages, attacking cable's main pricing weapon in the very market where cable currently holds the advantage.

Second-order effects

  • Cable operators would face a competitor no longer limited by satellite's historical weakness — no pipe into the home — forcing them to defend bundles on price rather than availability.

Third-order effects

  • If a $1 billion entry holds, pay-TV competition stops being about delivery technology and becomes a capital-intensity contest among platforms offering video plus connectivity, with only the deepest pockets staying in.

The trend: Satellite and cable distributors are converging into full telecommunications platforms, where bundling broadband decides who keeps the customer.