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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Will Wal-Mart sell $398 notebooks, desktops?

Wal-Mart and Hewlett-Packard will likely celebrate this Thanksgiving season by attempting to crush their competitors with low-price desktops and notebooks, according to a Web site that tracks bargains.  —  Black Friday 2005 …

CNET News.com Michael Kanellos

Context & Ripple Effects

This 2005 story captures an early moment in what became a defining dynamic of tech retail: mass-market retailers teaming with major PC makers to turn holiday shopping into a price war over commoditized hardware, with bargain-tracking sites amplifying every leak. The playbook has only grown — a decade later Walmart was running its own rival sale to Amazon's Prime Day, and Black Friday deal coverage is now an annual ritual spanning TVs, laptops and beyond. For Hewlett-Packard, cheap boxes at Wal-Mart were also brand positioning: the same company later pushed down-market again with the $180 Windows-based Stream Mini PC aimed at Chromeboxes.

First-order effects

  • Competing PC retailers and smaller computer sellers face immediate margin pressure during the crucial Thanksgiving–Black Friday window if $398 notebooks and desktops hit shelves.
  • HP gains massive seasonal volume through Wal-Mart's reach, while Wal-Mart uses sub-$400 PCs as traffic drivers for its biggest sales weeks of the year.

Second-order effects

  • Rival chains like Best Buy and office-supply retailers are forced to match headline holiday prices or lean on bundles, warranties and service to defend margins.
  • Other PC makers face pressure to supply stripped-down budget models for big-box shelves, accelerating the bifurcation of their lineups into loss-leader entry machines and premium products.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, the notebook and desktop slide toward appliance-like commodity status sold on price at mass retail, pushing manufacturers to differentiate through design, services and premium tiers — the split visible today between budget boxes and multi-thousand-dollar machines.
  • Holiday doorbuster pricing becomes a structural feature of consumer-tech demand, concentrating sales power with retailers who can extract the lowest unit costs from suppliers.

The trend: Mass-market retailers and PC makers keep deepening their holiday price-war alliance, turning consumer computers into commodity traffic-drivers while vendors chase differentiation upmarket.