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Chronicles

The story behind the story

days · browse · Enter similar · o open

AT&T says open models currently power ~25% of its overall AI usage, and expects that to rise to 70%-80% over time; AT&T uses an average of 45B AI tokens per day

Wall Street Journal Belle Lin

Context & Ripple Effects

AT&T’s stated shift toward open models lands as enterprise model use becomes less concentrated: a Global 2000 survey found OpenAI was widely deployed in production, while OpenRouter reported substantial US-company token use from Chinese models. AT&T’s 45 billion daily tokens make its intended mix change a meaningful procurement signal rather than a limited pilot.

The report adds a concrete enterprise-scale example to the broader move toward multi-model sourcing, where buyers can direct workloads among model suppliers instead of standardizing on one provider.

First-order effects

  • AT&T intends to move a majority of its AI workload toward open models over time, up from roughly one-quarter today, changing the model mix behind its reported daily token demand.
  • Proprietary-model providers serving AT&T face a customer signaling that openness will increasingly matter in workload allocation, alongside model performance and operating cost.

Second-order effects

  • AT&T’s planned diversification strengthens large enterprises’ negotiating leverage with model vendors, because high-volume workloads can be shifted among alternatives rather than committed to a single supplier.
  • Providers of open models and the infrastructure used to run them gain a clearer path to compete for enterprise workloads that proprietary APIs currently serve.

Third-order effects

  • If other large enterprises follow AT&T’s approach, enterprise AI purchasing may evolve into a portfolio market in which model vendors compete continuously for workload share rather than win durable single-provider standards.
  • The pattern would shift value toward the tools and infrastructure that let buyers evaluate, route, and operate multiple models at scale.

The trend: Large enterprise AI buyers are moving toward multi-model sourcing, using open models to increase choice and bargaining power at production-scale token volumes.

Discussion

  • @gabriel_horwitz Gabriel on x
    The WSJ put out a piece this morning on AT&T wanting to move 70-80% of its AI workloads to open models. So i went down the rabbit hole of how they use ai and turns out they're processing ~45B tokens/day now. In Sept it was ~5B. [image]