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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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WindBorne, which deploys weather balloons to collect data for its AI weather forecasting models, raised a $37M Series B at a $250M post-money valuation

The new deep learning techniques behind LLMs have also given us weather simulations that can run on laptops instead of supercomputers, changing meteorology.

TechCrunch Tim Fernholz

Context & Ripple Effects

WindBorne was already building forecasting around balloon-collected observations, while related coverage flagged that potential NOAA budget cuts could constrain its access to public weather data. Its new financing makes that proprietary-data strategy more consequential.

The company joins a better-funded race with Tomorrow.io, which has raised capital for an AI-driven low-Earth-orbit weather network. The contrast is not just between forecasting models, but between competing ways to gather the data those models use.

First-order effects

  • WindBorne gains $37M to support its balloon-based data collection and AI forecasting operation, with a $250M post-money valuation establishing its next financing benchmark.
  • Tomorrow.io now faces a newly financed rival pursuing an alternative observation network rather than a satellite-led one.

Second-order effects

  • Weather-forecasting rivals relying on public inputs face stronger pressure to differentiate through proprietary observation systems as WindBorne and Tomorrow.io finance their own data-collection layers.
  • Potential constraints on public weather-data access, raised in the earlier examination of WindBorne's NOAA exposure, make ownership of observation infrastructure more strategically valuable to forecasting vendors.

Third-order effects

  • If this funding pattern persists, AI weather forecasting will increasingly be a vertically integrated business in which durable advantage comes from controlling observations as well as running models.
  • Capital allocation may increasingly separate forecast providers with financeable physical data networks from software-only competitors that depend more heavily on shared public inputs.

The trend: AI weather forecasting is becoming a race to pair lower-cost deep-learning models with proprietary systems for collecting atmospheric data.

Discussion

  • Kanu Gulati Kanu Gulati on linkedin
    I have been thrilled to back WindBorne Systems since their first raise in 2019.  —  The thesis was always: better weather forecasts through a planetary nervous system. …