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Uber reports Q2 revenue up 12% YoY to $14.19B, below $14.24B est., Gross Bookings up 24% to $58B, and forecasts Q3 adjusted EPS below estimates; UBER drops 6%+

Lora Kolodny /CNBC:

CNBC Lora Kolodny

Context & Ripple Effects

Uber entered Q2 after a Q1 revenue miss alongside stronger-than-expected bookings, with management then forecasting Q2 bookings above expectations. The latest report repeats that split: bookings cleared estimates while revenue did not.

The contrast is sharper against Uber's 2024 quarter of revenue and operating-income beats, because the current release also guides Q3 adjusted EPS below analysts' expectations. It makes near-term earnings delivery, rather than demand volume alone, the central issue.

First-order effects

  • Uber's $58 billion in gross bookings exceeds expectations, but its $14.19 billion in revenue misses them, leaving investors to reconcile robust transaction growth with weaker reported revenue growth.
  • Uber's below-consensus Q3 adjusted-EPS forecast resets the near-term earnings benchmark immediately after the Q2 release.

Second-order effects

  • Analysts following Uber will have to weigh the stronger bookings signal against a second consecutive quarter in which revenue fell short of estimates, putting more emphasis on the path from bookings to revenue and EPS.
  • Uber's performance comparison shifts from top-line growth alone to whether its booking expansion can support earnings expectations, following its earlier reported operating-income improvement.

Third-order effects

  • If bookings repeatedly outpace revenue while earnings guidance trails consensus, ride-hailing marketplaces will increasingly be judged on monetization and profit conversion rather than gross transaction volume alone.

The trend: Uber's results are part of a maturing marketplace trend in which investors distinguish demand growth, measured by bookings, from the revenue and earnings it produces.

Discussion

  • @natlungfy Natalie Lung on x
    New: Uber and UK startup Wayve are preparing to launch their robotaxi service in London with a safety driver, getting out ahead of Waymo and Baidu's planned rollouts https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @jason @jason on x
    Generational buying opportunity for $uber IMO Now worth the same as Waymo 🤦😂 If @dkhos can get 100 autonomous rides done without a safety driver the stock will go back to $100 [image]
  • @jason @jason on x
    Take your time @wayve_ai and all autonomy players — slow and steady, no accidents please 🙏🏼! It's not a race... there will be plenty of rides to go around when prices hit < $1.50 a mile / $25 an hour At those levels ride sharing demand will triple
  • @gbrulte Grayson Brulte on x
    Congratulations Team @Wayve_AI!! 👏👏👏
  • @wayve_ai @wayve_ai on x
    @TfL has granted Private Hire Vehicle licences to Wayve's AVs, a big step for our @Uber partnership to bring supervised autonomous rides to London 🇬🇧 100,000+ Londoners have signed up to ride, with early access trips starting this summer ahead of public launch. Learn more: [image…
  • @hit @hit on x
    JUST IN: $UBER sinks 7% after weak third-quarter guidance overshadows in-line earnings and 12% revenue growth.
  • @thetranscript_ @thetranscript_ on x
    $UBER CEO: “Advertising exceeded a $2.5B annualized revenue run-rate this quarter, still growing roughly 50% YoY” Previous ARR Milestones: —May 2025: $1.5B —Sep 2024: $1B —Feb 2024: $900M: —Sep: 2023: $650M —Nov 2022: $350M [image]
  • @vjncapital @vjncapital on x
    $UBER earnings summary: Amazing KPIs: -> Gross Bookings: +24% -> Trips: +18% -> Monthly Active Platform Consumers: +16% Great financials: -> Adjusted revenue growth: +19% (excluding the UK accounting change) -> Adjusted EPS growth: +35% This does not look like a business being [i…
  • @ajrgd Alex Greenland on x
    @alexgkendall ... this is great and fantastic! i'm just thinking about the normies now, who will keep mixing up wayve and waymo. and brand confusion will cost you, in lost customers there's also the ad wars and legal angle, with passing off and trademark disputes plausible in the…
  • @alexgkendall Alex Kendall on x
    Huge news today: @TfL has granted Private Hire Vehicle licences to @wayve_ai AVs! This is a big step for our @Uber partnership to bring autonomous rides to London, starting with early access trips to over 100,000 Londonders who've already signed up. Let's go London! 🇬🇧 [image]