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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Nothing won't launch a new phone this year in its budget-focused CMF Phone series due to RAM prices

Nothing's CMF Phone series has released two models thus far and, at least for now, won't be getting a third, as the rising cost of materials has essentially left the series dead in the water.

9to5Google Ben Schoon

Context & Ripple Effects

Nothing positioned CMF as its value-oriented line with the $199 CMF Phone 1 in 2024, then followed it with the $279 CMF Phone 2 Pro in 2025. The line’s affordable pricing and modular hardware made component costs especially consequential.

This pause follows Nothing CEO Carl Pei’s warning that memory had become the most expensive phone component in some models and that handset prices could rise into 2027. The company is now applying that pressure directly to its CMF release schedule.

First-order effects

  • Nothing will forgo a CMF Phone launch this year, interrupting the annual progression from CMF Phone 1 to CMF Phone 2 Pro.
  • CMF’s budget-phone roadmap is constrained by RAM costs rather than by a lack of product differentiation, leaving existing CMF models to carry the line for longer.

Second-order effects

  • Nothing must either absorb higher memory costs, raise future CMF prices, or adjust specifications when it returns to the segment; each option weakens part of the value proposition established by the first two phones.
  • Other budget-phone makers facing the same memory-cost pressure may similarly reduce configuration upgrades or lengthen refresh cycles, making price-sensitive buyers more likely to hold onto existing devices.

Third-order effects

  • If memory remains an outsized share of phone bill-of-materials costs, the low-end smartphone market could shift from frequent spec-led refreshes toward fewer launches and more tightly managed configurations.
  • The episode reinforces that smaller handset brands have less room than larger-volume rivals to cushion component volatility; whether this becomes durable depends on how long elevated memory costs persist.

The trend: Rising memory costs are turning component procurement into a direct constraint on budget-smartphone pricing, specifications, and launch cadence.

Discussion

  • @akisevangelidis Akis Evangelidis on x
    A lot of you have been asking when the next CMF phone is coming and as always we'd rather be transparent. CMF Phone 2 Pro was a product we were incredibly proud of. It even won Budget Phone of the Year from MKBHD and the response from all of you made it even more special. We
  • @akisevangelidis Akis Evangelidis on x
    @TechWhirlUlt No my man - if CMF 2 Pro (exact same specs) was launched now it would probably be around 30-35K...