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ASML reports Q1 net sales of €8.8B, above €8.5B est., a €2.8B net profit, above €2.5B est., and raises its 2026 net sales forecast from €34B-€39B to €36B-€40B

CNBC Arjun Kharpal

Context & Ripple Effects

ASML entered 2026 after projecting sales growth from its 2024 base, with Q4 results showing sharply higher bookings even as China was expected to represent a material share of annual sales.

The quarter continues that improving outlook: later Q2 coverage shows another guidance increase. Separate related reporting also points to planned DUV price increases and EUV pricing discussions, making the sales trajectory relevant to chipmakers’ equipment budgets as well as ASML’s own results.

First-order effects

  • ASML lifts its 2026 sales outlook after delivering first-quarter sales and profit above expectations, giving the company a higher operating baseline for the year.
  • The reported employee share award ties a one-time benefit for roughly 45,000 staff to a 2030 vesting date, extending the company’s incentive horizon beyond the current quarter.

Second-order effects

  • Potential DUV price increases and EUV pricing discussions with TSMC would raise the cost of acquiring ASML’s systems for affected chipmakers, if implemented.
  • A stronger equipment outlook gives ASML more room to prioritize capacity, product mix, and workforce retention while customers plan around more expensive leading-edge tools.

Third-order effects

  • If repeated guidance upgrades and price actions persist, advanced lithography suppliers could capture a larger share of semiconductor capital-expenditure growth through pricing power as well as unit demand.
  • The pattern would reinforce the strategic importance of a small set of specialized equipment providers to leading-edge chip production, though the corpus does not establish how broadly customers can absorb higher tool prices.

The trend: This is one data point in a semiconductor-equipment upcycle in which demand for advanced manufacturing tools is translating into stronger supplier forecasts and potential price increases.

Discussion

  • r/StockMarket r on reddit
    Chip giant ASML raises 2026 guidance as AI semiconductor demand stays strong
  • Christophe Fouquet Christophe Fouquet on linkedin
    Earlier today, we published our Q1 2026 financial results, and the first quarter was a solid one for ASML. …
  • @skundojjala Sravan Kundojjala on x
    - at least 60/80 low-NA EUV output for 2026/2027 - 2nd straight ATH for EUV shipments/revenue; EUV 66% of systems revenue - EUV ASP roughly flat at €259M - DUV revenue down -45% q/q and -15% y/y; slow start [image]
  • @skundojjala Sravan Kundojjala on x
    - China cools off to 19% of systems revenue from 36% in 4Q25 - Current CY26 guidance can accommodate export controls outcomes - Customer capex is increasing; both Memory and Logic customers are trying to accelerate capacity ramps in '26 and beyond [image]
  • @skundojjala Sravan Kundojjala on x
    - Korea (+69% q/q) and Taiwan (+47%) accelerate - US -42% q/q; 4 q/q declines in 5 quarters - For 2027, ASML is ramping non-EUV production to be in line with customer demand - Logic down -41% q/q while memory up 38% [image]
  • Peter Elstrom Peter Elstrom on linkedin
    Well, it's taken about 10 hours for investors to make up their minds about ASML's latest earnings report, but the conclusion is now clear: They're not impressed. …