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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Tech stocks suffer their worst week in almost a year, driven by the Iran war and Meta's legal defeats; Meta fell 11%, Alphabet fell ~9%, and Microsoft fell ~7%

A bad week for stocks was particularly rough for tech investors, as the Nasdaq suffered its worst weekly drop since April 2025.

CNBC Ari Levy

Context & Ripple Effects

This selloff follows a prior tariff-driven tech retreat in which Meta, Alphabet and Microsoft also declined, showing how macro shocks can rapidly overwhelm company-specific narratives. The April 2025 tariff selloff similarly hit the largest platform and software names together.

The move also reverses the more selective response to Microsoft and Alphabet's AI spending plans, when those two companies rallied while Meta lagged. Here, Meta's legal setbacks coincided with a geopolitical shock, broadening pressure across the group.

First-order effects

  • Meta's 11% weekly decline puts the most immediate market pressure on the company named in the legal defeats, while Alphabet and Microsoft were pulled down roughly 9% and 7% in the wider risk-off move.
  • The Nasdaq recorded its weakest week since April 2025, immediately reducing the market value of major technology holdings and resetting sentiment around the sector.

Second-order effects

  • The simultaneous declines make it harder for investors to treat large-cap tech as insulated from geopolitical risk; company-specific legal exposure can amplify that repricing, as Meta's larger drop illustrates.
  • A broad move in the largest tech names can raise the valuation bar for adjacent technology companies, particularly where investors had been rewarding spending-led growth narratives.

Third-order effects

  • If episodes such as this recur, Big Tech valuations may be set less by a single growth narrative and more by the interaction of geopolitical shocks, regulatory outcomes and capital-spending expectations.
  • The pattern points to greater dispersion within concentrated tech indexes: firms facing identifiable legal or policy risks may underperform even when the sector is broadly moving lower.

The trend: Large technology stocks are becoming more exposed to crosscurrents between macro risk, legal scrutiny and the expectations embedded in their valuations.

Discussion

  • @kimmonismus @kimmonismus on x
    Microsoft -25.9% in Q1 2026. Besides Meta, it's the only company that hasn't managed to properly integrate AI into its processes. And apparently, not even Azure can salvage expectations.
  • @dividendology @dividendology on x
    $MSFT now down 35.6% YTD. $META down 18.5% YTD. Where will these two stocks bottom out at?
  • @briansozzi Brian Sozzi on x
    Tech stock valuations are back to the lows seen around the April 2025 tariff shock: [image]
  • @morningbrew @morningbrew on x
    Microsoft is closing in on its worst quarter since 2008 • Q1 '26 -25.9% • Q4 '08 -27.2% Not the kind of company you want to be in [image]
  • @momangtrades Angie G on x
    $MSFT being flat since 2021 sure does make you realize you need to own the right tech long term.
  • @philrosenn Phil Rosen on x
    Every Magnificent 7 stock is negative in 2026. Big Tech dominance is no longer the main story of the US stock market. Really pushes back on the “AI is a bubble” narrative. [image]
  • @herodividend @herodividend on x
    Microsoft $MSFT is getting too cheap to ignore [image]
  • @jimcramer Jim Cramer on x
    Even when the software stocks are running you can't keep Microsoft's stock from falling.
  • @edzitron.com Ed Zitron on bluesky
    You're gonna see people sharing this as proof that RAM demand will now drop, but it's more a sign that the markets don't understand anything.  RAM manufacturing capacity has been pre-booked, and there isn't some magical change coming out of this research anytime soon  —  www.ft.c…