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Ramp data: Anthropic is capturing ~73% of all spending among companies buying AI tools for the first time, up from a 50/50 split with OpenAI in January

Anthropic is now capturing over 73% of all spending among companies buying AI tools for the first time, according to customer data from Ramp.

Axios Madison Mills

Context & Ripple Effects

Ramp's measure is specifically spending by companies purchasing AI tools for the first time, making it an early-procurement signal rather than a measure of the entire enterprise AI market. The move from an even split in January to Anthropic taking roughly 73% of this cohort suggests the two vendors' new-customer momentum is diverging.

The signal fits later coverage in which Anthropic's paid-business presence rose in Ramp data while OpenAI's was nearly flat, followed by reports that more Ramp customers used Anthropic than OpenAI. Together, those observations matter because new-tool selection can shape subsequent vendor standardization.

First-order effects

  • Anthropic gains a disproportionate share of spending from Ramp-tracked companies entering the AI-tools market, while OpenAI receives a smaller share of that new-buyer spend.
  • For procurement teams in this cohort, Anthropic becomes the more frequently selected initial vendor in Ramp's data; the finding does not establish broader market share.

Second-order effects

  • OpenAI faces greater pressure to improve its conversion of first-time business buyers, while Anthropic has more opportunities to turn initial purchases into wider organizational deployments.
  • A widening lead in new procurement can reinforce vendor distribution: implementation partners, internal champions, and adjacent tool vendors may prioritize the platform customers are selecting first.

Third-order effects

  • If repeated across broader datasets, enterprise AI could move from a two-vendor race defined by overall adoption to one increasingly determined by control of new procurement cohorts and later expansion within accounts.
  • The relevant competitive question will increasingly be whether vendors can sustain usage and renewal after the initial purchase, not merely win a first AI-tool budget.

The trend: Enterprise AI competition is shifting toward winning the first procurement decision, where early vendor choice can compound into distribution and account-expansion advantages.

Discussion

  • @zephyr_z9 @zephyr_z9 on x
    No wonder Fidji is cutting side projects and focusing on enterprise GPT 5.4 is a really good coding model (better than Opus 4.6) I think they will win back market share
  • @conorsen Conor Sen on x
    Tough to make long-term forecasts in an industry where things can change this much in two months.
  • @wallstengine @wallstengine on x
    Anthropic now accounts for more than 73% of spending from enterprise buying AI tools for the first time. Just 10 weeks ago, it was split 50/50 with OpenAI. In early December, OpenAI was still ahead 60/40. [image]
  • @buccocapital @buccocapital on x
    Wow. Anthropic is eating OpenAI's lunch in the enterprise [image]
  • @therealadamg @therealadamg on x
    @saroshssnair @buccocapital Thank you. this Ramp stuff keeps making the rounds, but Ramp has little/no insight to actual enterprise usage — as they don't pay on a Ramp credit card.
  • r/ClaudeAI r on reddit
    73% of AI spend now on Anthropic, OpenAI now down to 26%
  • r/technology r on reddit
    Anthropic's Claude claws its way towards the top of the AI market