GovAI and Brookings: many of the people most at risk if AI transforms work are also the best placed to find new jobs, as researchers disagree over AI's impact
Washington Post
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Discussion
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@daveshapi
David Shapiro
on x
I've run similar exercises. But this doesn't include robots.
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@cdmorlock
Chris Morlock
on x
“If your whole job appears on a screen you're cooked” = PMC and menial service class Armageddon. Basically, the entire “knowledge worker” or “information worker” is the first to get wiped. Just like mechanical engineers in Detroit in the early 50's who set up all the
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@afinetheorem
Kevin A. Bryan
on x
I'd bet $1000 that from now to 2030, most “susceptible” jobs see *increased* share of labor. In the models these types of charts are based on, it is explicitly not “AI can substitute” but “AI is related”. AI is a complement too! Who *doesn't* want to code right now, for instance?
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@dr_gingerballs
@dr_gingerballs
on x
Guys, it's time to have the conversation that @karpathy might be an idiot.
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@wagslane
Lane
on x
I read the methodology. The scores are generated by.........asking Gemini flash to make one up?!? Am I missing something? I really like karpathy but this doesn't seem useful at all
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@boringbiz_
@boringbiz_
on x
The takeaway from this Karpathy jobs heat map is basically that you should have just skipped college and gone to trade school instead
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@pawelhuryn
Paweł Huryn
on x
Karpathy scored all 342 US occupations for AI exposure. Everyone's sharing the treemap. The actual insight is one line in the scoring rubric: If your entire job happens on a screen, you're exposed. Software devs: 8-9. Roofers: 0-1. Medical transcriptionists: 10/10. 342
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@thestalwart
Joe Weisenthal
on x
> Every job in the US economy > 342 occupations
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@kimmonismus
@kimmonismus
on x
Andrej Karpathy has launched an analysis of AI on jobs. Karpathy is by no means interested in hype or exaggeration. Using AI, he concluded that out of 143 million working people in the US, approximately 57 million are at high to very high risk of their jobs being negatively [imag…
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@_kaitodev
Kaito
on x
5 minutes ago, @karpathy just dropped karpathy/jobs! he scraped every job in the US economy (342 occupations from BLS), scored each one's AI exposure 0-10 using an LLM, and visualized it as a treemap. if your whole job happens on a screen you're cooked. average score across [imag…
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@kevinschaul
Kevin Schaul
on bluesky
New: AI job exposure is important, but there's more to the picture. Here's what the research says on adaptability. — Find your job here 🎁 wapo.st/4cP2ZHM [image]
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@shiraovide
Shira Ovide
on bluesky
The feared AI jobs apocalypse may be fine for relatively affluent workers like programmers. — It may not be for clerical and administrative workers. — Great visuals by @kevinschaul.bsky.social with a reminder: We are historically awful at predicting how tech changes work. — …