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Sources: OpenAI hit $25B annualized revenue by February's end, up from $21.4B at 2025's end; OpenAI annualizes by multiplying the last four weeks' revenue by 12

OpenAI topped $25 billion in annualized revenue as of the end of last month, according to a person familiar with the figure.

The Information Sri Muppidi

Context & Ripple Effects

OpenAI's reported run rate has moved from $1.6B annualized revenue in early 2024 to a $12B annualized pace in mid-2025, before reaching $21.4B at the end of 2025. The new $25B figure extends that commercial-growth arc.

The metric is a last-four-weeks revenue run rate multiplied by 12, so it is a timely indicator of current demand rather than a measure of recognized full-year revenue.

First-order effects

  • OpenAI can point to a materially higher revenue run rate in discussions about the scale of its commercial business and the demand supporting it.
  • The short measurement window makes the reported $25B pace especially sensitive to recent customer and consumer spending patterns.

Second-order effects

  • Rival AI providers face added pressure to demonstrate comparable monetization, not merely model adoption, as OpenAI's reported run rate becomes a prominent benchmark.
  • Higher revenue throughput strengthens the case for continued investment in the compute and product capacity needed to serve paying users, while leaving unit economics unresolved.

Third-order effects

  • If sustained, the pattern would reinforce a shift from generative AI experimentation toward businesses judged on recurring commercial revenue and the cost of delivering useful work.
  • Annualized run-rate disclosures may become a more common competitive signal in AI, though their comparability will depend on each company's calculation method and revenue mix.

The trend: Generative-AI leaders are increasingly being evaluated as large-scale software and compute businesses, with revenue growth and unit economics becoming inseparable tests of durability.

Discussion

  • @edzitron.com Ed Zitron on bluesky
    Oh so OpenAI hit $25 billion in annualized revenue, mysteriously after Anthropic hit $19 billion in annualized revenue.  But for the first time they've revealed that this figure is calculated by calculating the last four weeks of revenue by 12.  Utter bollocks  —  www.theinformat…
  • r/singularity r on reddit
    OpenAI's annualized revenue has reached $25 billion, but Anthropic is closing in
  • @amir Amir Efrati on x
    news: OpenAI tops $25B ARR, tho Anthropic narrowing the gap [image]