Citadel rebuts Citrini's viral article, arguing that AI deployment is constrained by the marginal cost of compute vs. human labor, and needs far more compute
Citadel Securities Frank Flight
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Discussion
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@mikeisaac
Rat King
on x
the most useful thing about the “citrini report” — now referenced like some clandestine dossier — was the way it showed how little the market seems to actually understand about AI if a blog post equivalent to Herbert-level fanfic can swing indices that much, we're in trouble [ima…
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@mansourtarek_
Tarek Mansour
on x
The Citrini report caused a market sell off. But Citadel and others published rebuttals. Pricing the likelihood of this AI doomsday scenario could decrease uncertainty in the broader market and make asset prices more efficient. Kalshi has it at 11%. https://www.citriniodds.com/
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@pitdesi
Sheel Mohnot
on x
Everyone dunked on the DoorDash part of the Citrini piece, but replace it with OTAs. Why would an AI agent use Expedia? It can check every airline/hotel directly. OTAs exist (& charge hotels ~15%) because comparison shopping is tedious for humans. Hotels will opt out, right?
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@mikefritzell
Michael Fritzell
on x
Some of you newsletter / Substack authors are playing too fast and lose. There will be a backlash.
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@the_ai_investor
@the_ai_investor
on x
Wow, about the Citrini's article: “the authorship attribution on a report attributed to market-moving was changed after publication, and the co-author is the managing partner of a $262 million SEC-registered hedge fund who confirmed short positions in the companies the report
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@burggrabenh
Alexander Stahel
on x
Citadel fills in some of the blind spots of the @Citrini7 note, which I enjoyed reading as much as everyone else. Let's keep the healthy debate going. 2026 Global Intelligence Crisis https://www.citadelsecurities.com/ ...
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@david_tracey
@david_tracey
on x
So the co-author of the Citrini piece was a hedge fund manager with short positions in tech. As I said the other day I had my suspicions.
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@stevehou
Steve Hou
on x
This is effectively a long winded bullish thesis for why SaaS isn't dead. We live in a world full of frictions that AI cannot easily overcome and software are tools that help us overcome those frictions. AI + software >> software and “human + AI” >> “AI alone”.
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@anistotle_
@anistotle_
on x
Vibe Laundering, Pt. 2: Citrini, the Co-Author and the Edit (remix not featuring the SEC)
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@vchampain
Vincent Champain
on x
AI productivity gains are just enough to partially compensate diminishing economic growth https://www.citadelsecurities.com/ ... [image]
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@marthagimbel
Martha Gimbel
on x
Citadel analysts as they're writing this piece: https://www.citadelsecurities.com/ ... [image]
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@bryntalkington
@bryntalkington
on x
Great read by Citadel. The dystopian bears always sounds so smart, but as we know the optimists make the best long term returns