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GPT-5.3-Codex and Claude Opus 4.6 can meaningfully contribute to the improvement of AI models, a sign of what's coming for most knowledge work within five years

Think back to February 2020.  —  If you were paying close attention, you might have noticed a few people talking about a virus spreading overseas.

Matt Shumer

Discussion

  • @ericbahn Eric Bahn on x
    Well @mattshumer_ just wrote an amazing treatise that will go down in history as one of the most important documents written about this forthcoming/present era of AI. Simply brilliant.
  • @benbajarin Ben Bajarin on x
    This whole post and the main insight here is basically what it means to truly be a technologist and an early adopter simultaneously.
  • @mattwalshblog Matt Walsh on x
    This is a really good article. AI is going to wipe out millions of jobs. It's happening now. Everything is changing. The avalanche is already here. Most of what we're currently arguing about will be irrelevant very soon.
  • @dhaber David Haber on x
    Great advice for how to get ahead in your job at any large company right now. “I used AI to do this analysis in an hour instead of three days” is going to be the most valuable person in the room. Not eventually. Right now. Learn these tools. Get proficient. Demonstrate what's
  • @alanlevinovitz Alan Levinovitz on x
    I can't comment on the accuracy of “AI is coming for our jobs, have you seen how incredible it is” essays like this one, but they all seem to miss a key point: The origin of many products is *part of the product.* Consider grading. I'm pretty sure AI could grade and comment the
  • @mattshumer_ Matt Shumer on x
    Something Big Is Happening
  • @lennysan Lenny Rachitsky on x
    “But it was the model that was released last week (GPT-5.3 Codex) that shook me the most. It wasn't just executing my instructions. It was making intelligent decisions. It had something that felt, for the first time, like judgment. Like taste. The inexplicable sense of knowing
  • @sethhaber Seth Haber on x
    This is the single best thing I've read on AI yet, and if you take 5-10 minutes of your life to read it I promise you'll be better prepared for what's about to come. And more confused, alarmed, concerned, excited, and everything in between. Because if you don't look away and
  • @bbalfour Brian Balfour on x
    For the past year I always get asked “How will [insert role] change?” My response has been what this article says. It's the wrong question to ask. It's a complete waste of energy. You have to be investing everything you can around learning and relearning how to use AI.
  • @mattshumer_ Matt Shumer on x
    Every time someone asks me what's going on with AI, I give them the safe answer. Because the real one sounds insane. I'm done holding back. I wrote what I wish I could sit down and tell everyone I care about. Send it to someone who needs to read it. https://x.com/...
  • @thegarrettscott Garrett Scott on x
    This is extremely well written and encapsulates what feels so obvious to me and others working on the edge of AI. To add to this, the scary part is that AI is now smart enough to be a self sustaining entity. It can take a certain amount of money, operate in the real world, and
  • @thecraighewitt Craig Hewitt on x
    As a non-technical CEO, I've spent the last 6 months rebuilding how my companies work around AI. @mattshumer_ is not exaggerating. The gap between people who get this and people who don't is about to become a chasm. If you're not paranoid, you're not paying attention.
  • @miles_matthias Miles on x
    This part really resonated: “They're actively looking for ways to automate parts of their job that used to take hours. Start with the thing you spend the most time on and see what happens.” Over the holiday break I made a list of tasks I do frequently that I wish were faster or
  • @sydneyfreedberg Sydney Freedberg on x
    This is a really intriguing take on the coming AI takeover of white-collar work by someone in the field, @mattshumer_ . It's scary and well worth reading. But: I'm reminded of how we were all gonna have self-driving cars by now. The counter argument to “LLMs are getting.../1
  • @brendonburchard Brendon Burchard on x
    “This might be the most important year of your career. Work accordingly.” True. If you're behind or pessimistic, read this. Great catch-up. Some more thoughts - do not be shocked that 30% of American employees will lose their jobs in the next 18 months. - get your financial
  • @almostcmb Chris Brown on x
    I like the tone of this. Not confrontational, not expert maxxing, just sort of saying “Guys, I'm putting this here in plain English because you or someone you love might not be in a position to know otherwise” I think Q1 '26 will be the time frame when armchair skeptics pivot
  • @bandrew Andy McLoughlin on x
    This is a must-read. Not just for those of us “on the inside” (to a greater or lesser degree) but even more so for your friends and family who still aren't unsure what to make of it all.
  • @mikemccormick_ Mike McCormick on x
    Abandon your status quo bias. The next few years are going to be wild.
  • @nathanieldwhite @nathanieldwhite on x
    I don't mean to be a hater. There are some good points in this essay. But there is something ironic about ending a 5000 word persuasive essay about AI's impact with this... (ChatGPT couldn't even get a h/t?) [image]
  • @gradypb Pat Grady on x
    this is good
  • @ai Anand Iyer on x
    Last week my 12yo told me any problem is solvable [through Claude]. She didn't pose a question. She said it very matter-of-factly. I thought “you can just do things” was a slogan for just us nerds. So, Matt captures why that hit me so hard. He had walked away from his computer
  • @anecdotal Hollis Robbins on x
    I have been saying this to fellow academics for months now: “Part of the problem is that most people are using the free version of AI tools. The free version is over a year behind what paying users have access to. Judging AI based on free-tier ChatGPT is like evaluating the state
  • @kyleellicott Kyle Ellicott on x
    The single biggest advantage you can have right now is simply being early. Early to understand it. Early to use it. Early to adapt... Sound advice and great essay by @mattshumer_
  • @matt_hougan Matt Hougan on x
    Great piece. So many people I respect highlighted this article.
  • @alexeheath.com Alex Heath on bluesky
    New interview: OpenAI's CEO of Applications.  Fidji Simo, on how ads in ChatGPT will work, what will end the Code Red, a social network for AI agents, the state of Sora, and a lot more  —  Her first in-depth pod since joining OpenAI www.youtube.com/watch?v=MmBK...
  • @openai @openai on x
    Deep research in ChatGPT is now powered by GPT-5.2. Rolling out starting today with more improvements. [video]
  • @openai @openai on x
    Now in deep research you can: - Connect to apps in ChatGPT and search specific sites - Track real-time progress and interrupt with follow-ups or new sources - View fullscreen reports [image]
  • @cedric_chee Cedric on x
    I've actually had this for about a week.  It's now powered by GPT-5.2 instead of o3, with better factuality, citations, and report quality, plus editable plans and mid-convo steering.  It also supports bringing your own sites + apps for expert research.  I wonder why they shipped…
  • @acerfur @acerfur on x
    Now this I have a feeling will have some serious literature review impact
  • @_simonsmith Simon Smith on x
    Substantial deep research update in ChatGPT: - Can specify apps and sites - Makes a plan, which you can modify - Puts output in a nice report viewer The report viewer looks slick, similar to the spreadsheet viewer and PowerPoint viewer OpenAI previously released, and leading me
  • @ethanwoo Ethan Woo on x
    It... wasn't before?
  • @conor_d_dart Conor Dart on x
    I'm not seeing the usual limit of around 25 deep research queries, does that mean we have higher usage available?
  • @acerfur @acerfur on x
    ohhh yeah now *this* is deep research [image]
  • @koltregaskes @koltregaskes on x
    This is way better, the ability to update research mid-point, select apps to use for researching and select specific sites to research on. New Deep Research in ChatGPT. [image]
  • @nicdunz Nic on x
    tf was it powered by before? what are we doing????
  • @neelajj Neel Ajjarapu on x
    Big updates to Deep Research! - Much better report quality, factuality and citations - Editable plans and steerable mid-convo - Bring your own sites + apps for expert research - Report viewing and exports
  • @isafulf Isa Fulford on x
    deep research update!!
  • @fidjissimo Fidji Simo on x
    Was fun to have @alexeheath @hamburger in my home for this episode; lots to talk about from my first 6 months in the not-so-new gig
  • @firstadopter Tae Kim on x
    “Simo: We're hoping to ship a new version of the chat model soon.”
  • @thestalwart Joe Weisenthal on x
    Seeing a lot of posts from software engineers that are like “AI is devouring my job and soon it will happen to everyone”. And it's like maybe, but just because you have an easy job doesn't mean everyone else does.
  • @theworthyhouse Charles Haywood on x
    This is all bullshit.
  • @wendyknowler Wendy Knowler on x
    This piece by Matt Shumer is a must-read. “Most people are using the free version of AI tools. The free version is over a year behind what paying users have access to. Judging AI based on free-tier ChatGPT is like evaluating the state of smartphones by using a flip phone. The
  • @morganlinton Morgan on x
    Everyone that likes, or dislikes AI, should read this.
  • @maxread.info Max Read on bluesky
    twitter essay designed to one-shot bosses everywhere x.com/mattshumer_/...
  • @jholbo John Holbo on bluesky
    I'm legit rather terrified of AI.  I'll admit it.  I've been a modest wait-and-see skeptic about it but the latest developments do seem to point to immediate, potentially society-staggering results and consequences.  Lurking over at X, I'm reading stuff like this: x.com/mattshume…
  • r/mathematics r on reddit
    Something big is happening: Do you think mathematicians are about to be replaced?
  • r/accelerate r on reddit
    “Something Big Is Happening Every time someone asks me what's going on with AI, I give them the safe answer.  Because the real one sounds insane. …
  • r/ChatGPT r on reddit
    Something Big Is Happening
  • @robdthomas Rob Thomas on x
    I think for everyone, there is a pre-you and a post-you, once you've experienced what is described herein. But, as stated, you can't just read about it. You have to do it.
  • @nicklutsko @nicklutsko on x
    I don't buy this at all. I paid for a year of ChatGPT to help with organization for the Kickstarter and it routinely lies, hallucinates, and generally makes workflow more complicated.
  • @_willcompton Will Compton on x
    Based on everything I'm seeing —this article feels like one of those texts I'd get back in high school that would read “Share this with 10 people in the next 10 minutes or you will have bad luck for the next 10 years” And I can't have that
  • @mkobach Matthew Kobach on x
    The future of work will be a K-shaped distribution
  • @intelligentpawg Tori on x
    i've worked in applied AI and i've worked white collar roles in tech and other industries, and i'm telling you the constant “AI is taking everyone's job” doomposting doesn't reflect reality yes, the smartest people you work with are using AI to automate parts of their workflow,
  • @stumpguyty Tyler Mumford on x
    “Ya man I'm going to read this and believe every word so I can be a doomer and have my week ruined.” No thanks.
  • @buccocapital @buccocapital on x
    [image]
  • @baileycarlin B.W. Carlin on x
    A lot of this can be true while also acknowledging that AI is FOR SURE turning younger people's brains into mush incapable of complex thinking in certain areas. I had students last semester that admitted to me they couldn't write an instagram caption without caption without AI
  • @michaelgove Michael Gove on x
    Last week we @spectator looked at what AI means for the UK - this is the revolution of our time
  • @jeff_bilbro Jeffrey Bilbro on x
    It's depressing how widely shared and read this is. It's AI-generated word salad posted by someone with a vested interest in spreading AI hype. AI is “big,” I guess, but its effects will be much more complicated and variegated than this “essay” implies.
  • @ddebow Daniel Debow on x
    it's true. i feel like i did when telling people covid was coming. “naaaaw this sounds all a bit crazy” it is.
  • @mollysoshea Molly O'Shea on x
    My ‘Reddit-only’ brother shared this in the family GC I can confirm it has crossed the chasm
  • @tom4ewas Tom Rutland MP on x
    Interesting article on the pace of change in AI and the risks to white collar jobs. Easy to see how this will - if it isn't already - vastly reduce the number of entry level comms jobs (just as one example).
  • @timerice1 Tim Rice on x
    Guy who sells AI tools warns us AI is coming for every job and tells us the only way out is to pay for AI tools like his and become reliant on them.
  • @mehdirhasan Mehdi Hasan on x
    Perhaps the most important piece you read today, this week, this month... 👀
  • @mikeharrisny @mikeharrisny on x
    Something big [image]
  • @mauro_gilli Mauro Gilli on x
    It's a paradigmatic change. The curious vs the careerist. [image]
  • @duns_sc0tus @duns_sc0tus on x
    This is an ad btw
  • @signulll @signulll on x
    if you've read this account for the past year & a half, you would've already digested almost everything outlined here.
  • @macaesbruno Bruno Maçães on x
    I am sorry but in everything I do and am interested in (writing, reading, interpreting, analysing) even the latest AI models are useless. If it changes then it changes but so far that's the reality
  • @vikramchandra Vikram Chandra on x
    If there is one thing that you need to do today, it is to sit down and read this post. Read it carefully. And then think about the implications for your life.
  • @jake_medvitz Jake Medvitz on x
    Ominous vibe shift on the TL this week. Two rising currents: - Alarm bells about imminent and widespread AI job replacement - Roll outs of tax cuts and tax credits for retired seniors These feel sticky. I suspect someone will stake a lane here.
  • @blakeweiner Blake R. Weiner on x
    Immediately stopped reading at “I've spent six years building an AI startup” because nothing after that phrase is worth any amount of my time [image]
  • @jgrimesey Jared Grimes on x
    To add onto this, I made a (mostly) functional discord clone full stack in less than a day. 17 thousand lines of production-ready code. You can check it out here, if you'd like https://github.com/... I made this too over the past week, a compiling language for music notation [ima…
  • @gregisenberg Greg Isenberg on x
    Send this to everyone you care about because AI is taking over the world and millions will be affected
  • @abarber1 Andrew Barber on x
    If you aren't intimately familiar with the pace of AI development, this is *absolutely required* reading. If you don't read it, then just be prepared to feel like you've been hit by a bus in the not too distant future.
  • @michaeltconte @michaeltconte on x
    What's great about this is the author's inability to recognize that this is transparently just a long sales pitch
  • @sirsimonclarke Simon Clarke on x
    Worth reading. It doesn't feel like we are ready for the implications of this.
  • @mattflammable.com MaTt FlaMmaBle on bluesky
    The internet is abuzz with this article, and for good reason.  —  The pace of AI advancement has reached a point of no return.  —  shumer.dev/something-bi...
  • @pestilence4all @pestilence4all on bluesky
    Here is the blog post from Matt Schumer.  —  It's a long read but well worth the time to read it.  —  The latest model of ChatGPT was coded by the prior model.
  • @pitdesi Sheel Mohnot on x
    This is important and everyone should read it. Everyone who works behind a computer should be worried about their job- unless they are a VC. AI may have taste and judgment now but can it sit on a board and ask 'so what's the AI strategy?' every meeting? Didn't think so.
  • @jdegoes John A De Goes on x
    This is not only false but it's also genuinely retarded. AI is mostly data, not code, and not a single company trained on code so they could write self-improving AI. This is a science fiction trope sneaking in as fact from the LLM who no doubt wrote Matt's article. [image]
  • @dkthomp Derek Thompson on x
    There are still a lot of journalists and commentators that I follow who think AI is nothing of much significance—still just a mildly fancy auto complete machine that hallucinates half the time and can't even think. If you're in that category: What is something I could write, or
  • @sama Sam Altman on x
    From how the team operates, I always thought Codex would eventually win. But I am pleasantly surprised to see it happening so quickly. Thank you to all the builders; you inspire us to work even harder.
  • @craigzliszt Craig Weiss on x
    nearly all of the best engineers i know are switching from claude to codex
  • r/BetterOffline r on reddit
    Matt Shumer Tweet Discussion
  • @farzyness Farzad on x
    My favorite thing about this article is that there's a loud chorus of people saying ‘AI HELPED HIM WRITE THIS’... Yet the article has over 40 MILLION VIEWS. You guys - that's the whole point. Do you not see how disruptive that is?
  • @cloud_opinion @cloud_opinion on x
    Response: https://medium.com/...
  • @ike_saul Isaac Saul on x
    This piece is interesting. I also think it's deeply flawed. One thing I've noticed, and h/t to @arijoe19 for articulating it so well, is that computer code is a really structured language, and software is a defined problem space with a lot of defined patterns, so software people
  • r/OpenAI r on reddit
    Thoughts on this article?  I use AI daily but would not consider myself even close to an expert.  Curious if experts agree or disagree
  • r/singularity r on reddit
    Something Big Is Happening
  • r/programming r on reddit
    ‘AI fatigue is real and nobody talks about it’: A software engineer warns there's a mental cost to AI productivity gains