Investor fears that software companies are facing an AI-driven extinction event are exaggerated, but the persistent belief has damaged their stocks for months
Fears that software companies are facing an extinction event are exaggerated, but other dangers are real
Wall Street Journal Dan Gallagher
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Discussion
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@tbpn
@tbpn
on x
Box CEO @levie's defense of software over vibe-coded, n-of-1 internal tools: “If you're Ford, and you're doing your supply chain on an ERP system, you want that to work the exact same way every single time.” “The billions of transactions going through that ERP system, you [video]
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@stevesi
Steven Sinofsky
on x
Death of Software. Nah.
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@thestalwart
Joe Weisenthal
on x
US stocks outperforming the rest of the world has been one of the strongest investing themes for years. It peaked in December 2024, right after Trump's win. [image]
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@taliagold
Talia Goldberg
on x
SaaS index down 32% YoY despite most companies meeting or beating plans, all while the markets are up ~15%. Market fear of uncertainty and AI agents eating SaaS is wild. [image]
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@tmt_jack_
@tmt_jack_
on x
Owning SaaS right now feels like being on the Epstein files
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@arampell
Alex Rampell
on x
“The Software Clone Wars of 2004” History doesn't repeat, but it rhymes Before SaaS, and before freemium, there was “shareware” — try before you buy software. This was a concept dating back to the 1980s, where software would be freely distributed on floppy discs attached to PC
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@forgebitz
Klaas
on x
“saas is dead” - someone who's never stepped foot in a company with more than 7 people
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@sarthakgh
Sar Haribhakti
on x
Ben Thompson: “....the real risk I see for software companies is the fact that while they can write infinite software thanks to AI, so can every other software company. I suspect this will completely upend the relatively neat and infinitely siloed SaaS ecosystem....” [image]
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@jasonrshuman
Jason Shuman
on x
Agents set to exceed SaaS revenues real quick [image]
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@qualityinvest5
@qualityinvest5
on x
Generational buying opportunity in SaaS but I have no cash [video]
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@mikeeisenberg
Michael Eisenberg
on x
With the SAAS meltdown fully underway and the MBAs who “pulled the model forward” and thought SAAS was a bond, rethinking their high business school tuition, I thought I would share two lines from our annual letter to LPs that went out on January 2nd, 2026. [image]
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@marcelolima
Marcelo P. Lima
on x
“AI” is software and it's becoming just another “Lego brick” for SaaS companies, much like S3 or EC2 instances “Gemini is becoming the AI engine for the world's most successful software companies” [image]
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@jaykreps
Jay Kreps
on x
Dirty secret: most “AI startups” are just SaaS companies.
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@litcapital
@litcapital
on x
SaaS investors in the 2010s vs SaaS investors in 2026 [image]
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@arpitrage
Arpit Gupta
on x
Nice post at @stratechery interpreting the SaaS disruption: - demand for *software* still goes up a lot - but the moats and pricing power in SaaS are disappearing. - nice analogy to newspapers and AI code ~ user generated content https://stratechery.com/... [image]
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@garrytan
Garry Tan
on x
Software is not dead. SaaS without agents may suffer, but Agent SaaS is alive, well, and winning
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@jukan05
Jukan
on x
I seriously don't get why Anthropic is out there begging investors for money. Just short a bunch of SaaS companies, then casually add their entire feature set to Claude.
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@rrhoover
Ryan Hoover
on x
“Strap in. This is the most exciting time for business and technology, ever.” This statement has particular weight coming from Sinofsky.
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@levie
Aaron Levie
on x
@stevesi “The number of processes and experiences in work and life that are not yet fundamentally improved by software is far greater than the number that have been improved by software.” 💯
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@ji
James Ide
on x
@stevesi To add, I suspect software companies are better equipped to be AI-powered and agent-ready than, say, retail companies were to adopt internet sales. Constant change and R&D is norma; in software, and so much of AI is programming-adjacent. It is software and hardware, afte…
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@stevesi
Steven Sinofsky
on x
@JI Maybe but why wasn't IBM equipped to capitalize on the PC they invented or Kodak on the digital camera they invented? These were companies that invented more stuff than just about any other company.
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@howardlindzon
Howard Lindzon
on x
it's the actual ‘birth’ of software when idiots like me can speak the language it is hopefully the death of kobe beef software engineering teams
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@jonoringer
Jon Oringer
on x
🎯
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@neelchhabra
Neel Chhabra
on x
The “death of software” thesis commits the same category error as “death of retail”... it assumes a fixed pie of economic activity that gets reallocated. The reality is that software expands to fill the available capacity for automation, and AI doesn't reduce that capacity, it
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@traskjd
John-Daniel Trask
on x
Really solid articulation on the death of software, or not, from somebody who has a unique depth of experience on the software industry changes over time:
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@sagarbhupalam
Sagar Bhupalam
on x
Excellent article. This is actually a bull case for software because TAM will explode and never before addressed usecases will be taken up by ai/human driving ai.
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@illscience
Anish Acharya
on x
A+ post - “what is absolutely part of this whole arc are people who are certain we are less than five years away and are in a rush to build with absolute belief in where things are heading, and people who support them with their labor or dollars.”
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@martin_casado
@martin_casado
on x
“The most important thing about the PC is that the first predictions were de minimis, followed by the prediction that it would eliminate mainframe computing and the data center. HAHA. Everyone was wrong all around.” Great, great piece by Steven.