Many AI founders now find it necessary to raise at valuations requiring absolute domination of the field; Brex, once valued at $12B, shows the downsides of this
Capital One just announced it's acquiring Brex for $5.15 billion. An incredible, top .1% “exit” in less than 10 years …
SaaStr Jason Lemkin
Discussion
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@mrp
Ron Pragides
on x
HUBRISTIC FUNDRAISING “Brex raised $300 million at a $12.3 billion valuation in October 2022—technically 2022, but really the tail end of the 2021 madness before rates spiked and everything crashed. At that valuation, with maybe $200-250M in revenue at the time, Brex was being [i…
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@alexfmac
Alex Macdonald
on x
Thoughtful piece... but for most VCs the incentives encourage hubristic fundraising. This isn't really a founder problem... it's a VC problem. Also a few ‘modern day AI’ hubristic comps do not deserve to be in the list 👀
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@parkerconrad
Parker Conrad
on x
@jasonlk I think this is very smart / very much on-point. It can be very dangerous not to play the game on the field though - if your competitors are doing this and you are not, it can be very hard to survive.
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@elwatto
Miguel Carranza
on x
Fantastic and balanced piece. It's less about right vs wrong and more about understanding tradeoffs and the rules of the game. It's always a lot more nuance than the average, simplistic twitter/hn take. PS: If you ever get the chance, take Jason's check.
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@markmacleod_
Mark MacLeod
on x
Brilliant and balanced take on the Brex acquisition
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@trace_cohen
Trace Cohen
on x
Great post that sums up the current tech/VC market and the games being played.
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@alexiskold
Alex Iskold
on x
Epic post by @jasonlk Know the trade off If you roll the dice and stumble you won't capture all the upside But obviously still an epic outcome for founders, early employees and early investors With AI companies unlike with Brex unit economics will be another big variable.
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@jamesreggio
James Reggio
on x
This is a really good piece - especially because it honors the folks who stuck around to make this turnaround happen.
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@jesskah
Jess Lee
on x
We have entered the vibe raise era
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@rabois
Keith Rabois
on x
This post is very good. (He will regret the comments re Ramp however; Ramp is massively undervalued actually.)
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@shaig
Shai Goldman
on x
I've been in the startup game for a minute, there is a very wide delta between private market valuation & public valuations , especially at this moment. Worth a read if you are a founder who is raising.
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@fredsoda
@fredsoda
on x
My only qualm with this article is the claim that, say, Loveable is “worth” more than Brex. Brex sold for $5.15B. Loveable is “worth” $6.6B. If early-stage valuations are hype; late-stage valuations are fake.