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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Ripple surged 50%+ on Friday and is now valued at ~$85B, surpassing Ethereum's market cap and becoming the second-most valuable cryptocurrency

CNBC Evelyn Cheng

Context & Ripple Effects

Ripple's jump past Ethereum is the sharpest step yet in a rotation that has been building all year: back in May, when Bitcoin crossed $2,000, it had already slipped below half of total crypto market cap as Ethereum and Ripple absorbed a growing share of the value. The flip matters because it happened during a drawdown — Ethereum fell roughly 18–21% over the week while XRP surged more than 50%, so this is relative-strength rotation, not a rising tide lifting both.

The displacement also lands on a network showing soft fundamentals elsewhere in the corpus: declining active addresses and record-low daily ether burned around late March, plus reporting that Ethereum was losing investor and developer interest relative to its peers.

First-order effects

  • XRP holders see their position reprice at roughly $85B in market value, while Ethereum cedes the number-two slot behind Bitcoin for the first time in this cycle.
  • Index funds and portfolio trackers benchmarked to market-cap rank are forced to rebalance out of ETH and into XRP on the flip itself.

Second-order effects

  • Capital rotating into a payments-focused token pressures Ethereum to defend its developer and investor base precisely when its network activity metrics were already dipping — Vitalik Buterin's argument that low-risk DeFi like payments and savings could drive Ethereum revenue like search ads drive Google becomes the counter-narrative to push.
  • Exchanges and wallet providers face demand to list and support XRP more prominently, since the token now sits in the number-two position retail investors screen for.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, crypto market-cap leadership stops being a stable hierarchy: the corpus shows the same churn recurring years later, when XRP passed $137B to retake a top-three spot after the 2024 US election, suggesting payment-rail tokens periodically displace smart-contract platforms whenever regulatory or sentiment winds shift.
  • A repeatable flip mechanism would push valuation debates away from 'which platform wins' toward which use case — settlement versus general-purpose computation — commands the premium in each regime.

The trend: Cryptocurrency market-cap leadership is becoming cyclical rather than fixed, with payment-focused tokens like XRP repeatedly displacing smart-contract platforms during sentiment-driven rotations.

Discussion

  • @prestonjbyrne Preston Byrne on x
    Cryptocurrency: like Apple, like Amazon, or like Enron? pic.twitter.com/hqNp4b2UIN
  • @haydentiff Tiffany Hayden on x
    Not really because Ari already knows that neither #Bitcoin nor #XRP can be frozen. IOUs issued on the @Ripple network can be frozen, but that doesn't sound scary enough and no use pointing out how much more complex Ripple is compared to Bitcoin. That doesn't fit the narrative.
  • @haydentiff Tiffany Hayden on x
    Despite ridicule, I'm a longtime supporter of $XRP. Intentional FUD prevented many of you from enjoying this year's 30,000% increase. Support whatever you believe in, but please remember that nobody has your best interest in mind but you. 2018: Sincerity/positivity > Criticism ht…
  • @tonevays @tonevays on x
    People seem to have a problem w/ using Total Supply for MCap, Why? 1. #Ripple is a Centralized Token Created by 3 guys. There is NOTHING preventing them from selling all to exit scam. 2. Satoshi's #Bitcoin r way less likely to ever Trade + Lost Coins, but yet they count in MCap?
  • @thestalwart Joe Weisenthal on x
    The new Uber valuation makes it worth less than Ripple.
  • @aridavidpaul Ari Paul on x
    1/ XRP: earlier today I posted a graphic from the Ripple company's website about the “freeze” features on the XRP ledger with little additional comment. XRP cannot currently be frozen, this feature only applies to other assets in specific circumstances.
  • @robelgal @robelgal on x
    I work at @bbva and we are already piloting XRP for international wire transfers between Mexico and Spain. @santanderuk is doing the same. However, it's only a pilot to not be left behind and it's not looking like a solid protocol for the way it settles payments.
  • @crypto_hokie Andrew on x
    You should know you're not piloting XRP then. Santander is piloting RippleNet. Fiat routes using interledger and trusted intermediaries. No XRP required.
  • @truthcoin Paul Sztorc on x
    No one ever got around to solving Ripple's biggest incentive problem: the fact that one group controls *nearly all* of the XRP. What a hot potato that is!! All of the controllers will eventually be cashing out, abandoning the project, and fleeing for their lives.