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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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China's crackdown on its tech giants wiped a combined $823B off their market value since a Feb. peak, with Tencent, Alibaba, and Kuaishou as the biggest losers

Bloomberg

Context & Ripple Effects

The $823B drawdown from February's peak is the market's running tally of Beijing's regulatory campaign, and it deepens fast: within weeks, Tencent alone sheds 23% of its value in July, roughly $170B, and by September it drops out of the world's ten most valuable companies entirely, leaving no Chinese firm on that list.

The losses prove durable rather than a sentiment swing — later analysis puts Tencent and Alibaba [[a:1157803|down 60% and 65% since early 2021, the two largest value destructions of any stocks globally]] — and the same index is still shedding hundreds of billions in value years later, marking this as a structural repricing of Chinese platform tech rather than a cyclical dip.

First-order effects

  • Tencent, Alibaba, and Kuaishou — the three biggest losers named in the tally — see their cost of equity and acquisition currency collapse, directly constraining M&A and expansion funded with stock.

Second-order effects

  • Global index funds and holders of Chinese large caps face forced reweighting as Tencent's ranking falls, pushing capital toward US and other non-Chinese mega-caps.

Third-order effects

  • If the crackdown pattern holds, Chinese platform companies trade at a permanent regulatory discount relative to Western peers, and the world's largest-company rankings stay without Chinese representation for the first time in the mega-cap era.

The trend: Chinese regulators' campaign against platform tech has converted the country's internet giants from global market-cap leaders into a structurally discounted asset class, with each new policy wave resetting valuations lower.

Discussion

  • @baldingsworld @baldingsworld on x
    If this happens this would represent a MAJOR MAJOR shift both on the technical specifics and signal towards China remaking broader policy. While US investors and policy makers busy debating financial decoupling, Beijing send to be making the decision for you https://twitter.com/.…
  • @can @can on x
    Makes you wonder how many trillions are stuck in US monopolies https://twitter.com/...
  • @shiraovide Shira Ovide on x
    To recap: U.S. concerned about data flowing from Chinese-owned apps to China. China concerned about data from U.S.-listed apps flowing to U.S. Failure to disclose the latter in U.S. gets Chinese-owned apps in trouble. https://www.nytimes.com/...
  • @jorge_guajardo Jorge Guajardo on x
    “the rules would require firms structured using the so-called Variable Interest Entity model to seek approval before going public in Hong Kong or the U.S.” Performative statement, pretending HK is the equivalent to US, and not under CCP control. https://www.bloomberg.com/...