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TEXXR

Chronicles

The story behind the story

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The European Commission publishes a plan to bolster its influence in creating global tech standards, seeking to challenge the US and China and their companies

Politico Laurens Cerulus

Context & Ripple Effects

The Commission's standards plan is a direct answer to China's years-long campaign for influence inside ITU, IEEE and 3GPP — a push Brussels had watched with alarm since at least 2019 while Washington and Europe pushed back piecemeal. What changed by early 2022 is that the EU stopped treating standards bodies as neutral technical venues and started treating them as contested strategic ground where US and Chinese companies set the rules European industry must then follow.

The timing is telling: it lands one day after US pressure on the Digital Markets Act showed how easily transatlantic tech relations turn transactional, and it prefigures the sovereignty agenda the Commission would later formalize in its Cloud and AI Development Act package. Standards influence is the upstream layer of that same dependency problem.

First-order effects

  • European firms and standards delegates get a coordinated Brussels-backed strategy for ITU, IEEE and 3GPP seats, instead of competing individually against better-resourced US and Chinese delegations.
  • US and Chinese companies face a third organized bloc in technical committees, raising the cost of pushing proprietary or nationally favored specifications through as global defaults.

Second-order effects

  • US tech giants must staff up their own European standards engagement to defend positions they previously held largely unopposed, deepening the lobbying footprint that already drew fire in the DMA fight.
  • Chinese delegations, having invested in these bodies since 2019, encounter a counterweight that can split votes Washington and Beijing previously won by default — making committee outcomes less predictable for both.

Third-order effects

  • If the pattern holds, global technical standards fragment along bloc lines — US, Chinese, and EU-preferred specifications competing before adoption — turning bodies like ITU and 3GPP into arenas of industrial policy rather than consensus engineering.
  • Standards influence becomes a standing pillar of EU tech sovereignty alongside regulation and procurement, meaning future legislation like the Cloud and AI Development Act arrives with a parallel effort to shape the underlying specifications.

The trend: Technical standards-setting is being absorbed into state industrial strategy, with the EU building a third pole of influence alongside the US and China in the bodies that define global technology.

Discussion

  • @blob_watcher @blob_watcher on x
    The EU is at its peak with its mechE expertise, and has missed the bus with computer tech. Moreover, its entire economic policymaking process is utterly compromised by slavish devotion to the US. Unsurprisingly, the response is always more useless regs. https://www.politico.eu/..…
  • @ylechelle @ylechelle on x
    EU drafts counteroffensive to China, US on technology rules - By ⁦@laurenscerulus⁩. « Europe First » is a courageous stance that will not go unchallenged by our historic allies and trade partners. But it is time we muscle up on that front. https://www.politico.eu/...