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Chronicles

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Sources: Alibaba doesn't plan to exit Russia, despite sanctions on AliExpress Russia partners and lower orders due to shipping delays and the depreciating ruble

Wall Street Journal Jing Yang

Context & Ripple Effects

Alibaba built its Russian position through a $2B joint venture with Mail.ru, MegaFon, and the Russian Direct Investment Fund launched in 2018, then opened AliExpress to local vendors in markets including Russia in 2019. As Protocol reported earlier this month, the invasion put both that structure and Alibaba's significant Ukraine sales under strain, with sanctions touching AliExpress Russia's partners.

The new reporting answers the open question from that coverage: Alibaba stays. The costs are already visible — orders are down on shipping delays and the depreciating ruble, and the joint venture has since cut roughly 40% of its ~1,000-person staff per Nikkei. The move echoes Alibaba's playbook elsewhere: when tensions flared in India, it paused new investments without exiting existing stakes.

First-order effects

  • AliExpress Russia keeps operating under sanctions pressure on its partners, absorbing lower order volumes caused by shipping delays and ruble depreciation rather than winding down.

Second-order effects

  • Mail.ru, MegaFon, and the Russian Direct Investment Fund retain their joint-venture partner through the downturn, while the JV's ~40% staff reduction shifts more of the operating burden onto a thinner team.

Third-order effects

  • Alibaba is establishing a pattern of holding minority-exposure positions through geopolitical shocks — pause investment, shrink operations, stay listed — which could become the template for how Chinese platforms ride out Western sanctions regimes.

The trend: Chinese consumer-internet platforms are choosing operational retrenchment over exit when geopolitics turns hostile, keeping market positions alive at reduced cost until conditions change.

Discussion

  • @chinarealtime @chinarealtime on x
    All of Alibaba's local Russian partners or their leaders in the joint venture with AliExpress have been sanctioned by the West—but those sanctions are opposed by Beijing. Unlike many of its Western peers, Alibaba hasn't taken a public stance on the war. https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @jchengwsj Jonathan Cheng on x
    On a business trip to Russia in 2016, Jack Ma was listening to his executives extol their success in the country over lunch. Skeptical, he pulled aside a waitress and asked what she knew about AliExpress. She said she used it almost every week. @jingyanghk https://www.wsj.com/...
  • @jchengwsj Jonathan Cheng on x
    @jingyanghk Now, Russia joins the headaches that have hit Alibaba, including a regulatory crackdown by Beijing, rising competition and the halving of its share price. “Bad EU-China relations are bad for Chinese companies' expansion.” @jingyanghk @raffaelehuang https://www.wsj.com…
  • @pstasiatech Paul Triolo on x
    Three of Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba's partners in the fast-growing AliExpress Russia operation are caught up in U.S. sanctions that Beijing opposes https://www.wsj.com/... via @WSJ