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Chronicles

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In a US appeals court, the FTC argues that a federal judge held the agency to too high a standard when she ruled that Microsoft's $69B Activision deal was legal

Reuters Diane Bartz

Context & Ripple Effects

The FTC’s appeal follows a district-court loss in which the agency failed to win a preliminary injunction; a subsequent Ninth Circuit bid for emergency relief was also denied in the earlier appeal-stage refusal to halt the transaction.

The agency nevertheless kept the challenge alive and said it would assess Microsoft’s cloud-gaming arrangement with Ubisoft, making this hearing a test of both the original ruling and the remedies surrounding cloud-game distribution.

First-order effects

  • The FTC must persuade the appeals court that the lower court demanded too much proof of likely competitive harm, rather than merely revisit the merger on its commercial merits.
  • Microsoft and Activision remain subject to an unresolved appellate challenge even after the courts declined to block the deal at the preliminary-injunction stage.

Second-order effects

  • The case puts greater weight on remedy design—especially arrangements affecting cloud gaming—because those commitments are central to how the transaction’s competitive effects are assessed.
  • Other merger parties and the FTC will watch whether the appellate court clarifies the evidentiary threshold for obtaining injunctions against large technology acquisitions.

Third-order effects

  • If courts continue to require a demanding showing of likely harm at the injunction stage, antitrust agencies may face a narrower practical window to stop technology mergers before they can proceed.
  • The dispute reflects a longer-running shift toward using targeted access or distribution commitments as a way to address platform-merger concerns, though their effectiveness remains contested.

The trend: Big-tech merger enforcement is increasingly being shaped by how courts evaluate forward-looking competition claims and behavioral remedies in platform markets.

Discussion

  • @marypcbuk.bsky.social Mary Branscombe on bluesky
    the FTC thinks it shouldn't have to prove that deal *is* anticompetitive just that it could be if Microsoft wanted it to be; think that would require proving that Microsoft WANTS to cut off its nose to spite its face, which it already tried and failed at [embedded post]