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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Apple's AI shift could move some searches to Siri and AI chatbots instead of web browsers and Google, softening the blow from the US v. Google antitrust ruling

Bloomberg Mark Gurman

Context & Ripple Effects

Apple’s AI plans already tied Siri to local and cloud LLM processing and a prospective chatbot partnership, as outlined in reporting on Project Greymatter and Siri’s AI architecture. That makes search behavior—not just a new assistant feature—material to Apple’s platform strategy and its relationship with Google.

Subsequent coverage sharpened the connection: Apple was considering an AI-centered reshaping of Safari, while Cue’s courtroom framing sought to reduce the perceived importance of the existing Google search arrangement.

First-order effects

  • Apple gains a plausible alternative path for some information queries through Siri and chatbots, giving it a stronger argument that browser-based Google search is not the only route to users.
  • Google faces the prospect that a portion of Apple-device query activity could be answered before a user reaches a browser search page, while the antitrust case’s assumptions about search access face more pressure.

Second-order effects

  • Google has added incentive to keep AI search experiences available in its own prominent surfaces; it had already considered limiting AI Overviews to its mobile apps before deciding against it, according to reporting on its AI Overviews distribution debate.
  • Apple’s bargaining position with search and chatbot partners could improve if Siri becomes a meaningful query-entry point rather than merely an add-on to Safari.

Third-order effects

  • If assistant-led answers displace enough browser queries, remedies centered on default browser search distribution may address a smaller share of how users discover information; that would not eliminate the relevance of defaults, but it would change the competitive baseline.
  • The durable contest shifts toward control of the assistant interface, model partnerships, and device-level distribution—not solely the search-engine default.

The trend: AI assistants are becoming a primary distribution layer for information queries, potentially reallocating power from browser defaults to device-integrated interfaces.

Discussion

  • @ethank Ethan Kaplan on threads
    Apple makes a lot of money from Google, but if you think they don't have a few red team projects going to do their own search engine, using a different one, etc or acquiring one..... well, they do.
  • @daveleebbg Dave Lee on threads
    Speculative thought: If it's no longer getting (up to) $25bn per year from Google for default search on iPhone, does that tip Apple towards developing its own search alternative?  Might be especially useful in the LLM era.
  • @rakeshsfnyc Rakesh Agrawal on x
    @DelRey Apple buys perplexity, scales it and directs default there? Accelerate its own search engine development? How much could you get bing to pay you if they are a monopsony?
  • @carnage4life Dare Obasanjo on x
    Apple is definitely the big loser in Google's payments to them being an illegal monopoly. Basically $20 billion in revenue evaporating overnight. This ruling might actually work out financially for Google since few people will choose Bing as default. https://www.bloomberg.com/...
  • @adamkovac Adam Kovacevich on x
    4. AI is already changing the search engine landscape. It will be interesting to see if what the concept of “searching” looks entirely different by the time this case is ultimately resolved. It may all look kind of small in the rearview mirror. 8/