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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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Nvidia crossed a $2T market cap intraday on February 23, after adding $277B to its market value on February 22, Wall Street's largest one-day gain on record

Nvidia (NVDA.O) hit $2 trillion in market value on Friday, riding on an insatiable demand for its chips that made the Silicon Valley firm …

Reuters Aditya Soni

Context & Ripple Effects

Nvidia’s $2T threshold follows its May 2023 entry into the $1T club, when an AI-demand-driven revenue forecast first made the company a top-tier tech valuation. The new milestone shows that investor expectations were accelerating alongside demand for its chips.

The scale of the one-day repricing matters because it concentrates more of the AI buildout’s perceived economic value in the company supplying its core computing hardware.

First-order effects

  • Nvidia joins the small group of companies valued above $2T, sharply increasing its equity-market weight and the value of its stock as a financing and compensation currency.
  • The record $277B daily gain resets the near-term valuation baseline around sustained demand for Nvidia’s AI chips rather than a single quarterly update.

Second-order effects

  • Peer chipmakers face a higher bar to show they can capture meaningful AI-related demand; investors are likely to scrutinize their product roadmaps and revenue exposure more closely.
  • The valuation move strengthens the market signal to AI infrastructure buyers and suppliers that accelerated-computing demand is a central spending priority, reinforcing the investment case across the supply chain.

Third-order effects

  • If this repricing is sustained, AI infrastructure could become more concentrated around a small number of hardware platforms that combine technical leadership with the capital to fund rapid expansion.
  • The episode also makes AI exposure a larger driver of broad technology-market performance, increasing the sector’s sensitivity to changes in demand for compute.

The trend: This is a data point in the AI infrastructure supercycle, in which demand for accelerated computing is concentrating market value among the companies that control critical compute platforms.

Discussion

  • @benedictevans Benedict Evans on threads
    Looking at Nvidia... I am not a semiconductor analyst and one of the few things I know about semiconductors is that it has always been a highly cyclical industry, but that might be enough.
  • @jonerlichman Jon Erlichman on x
    Nvidia market cap milestones: Feb 2024: $2 trillion Jan 2024: $1.5 trillion May 2023: $1 trillion July 2021: $500 billion May 2020: $200 billion Aug 2017: $100 billion Apr 2016: $20 billion Jan 2002: $10 billion Mar 2000: $5 billion
  • @schmidhuberai Jürgen Schmidhuber on x
    2010 foundations of recent $NVDA stock market frenzy: our simple but deep neural net on @nvidia GPUs broke MNIST https://arxiv.org/.... Things are changing fast. Just 7 months ago, I tweeted: compute is 100x cheaper, $NVDA 100x more valuable. Today, replace “100” by “250.”... [im…
  • @growing_daniel Daniel on x
    nvidia saved FAANG because they were going to have to kick Netflix out and at that point we all would've looked around nervously and abandoned the acronym altogether
  • @carnage4life Dare Obasanjo on x
    Nvidia stock is up 17x over the past five years. If you'd invested your 401(K) in it back then you could retire today. Their biggest problem is going to be talent exodus from people calling in ̶s̶i̶c̶k̶ rich. [image]
  • @carnage4life Dare Obasanjo on x
    Nvidia hit $2 trillion market cap today after the largest growth in valuation in a single day when it's valuation jumped by $277 billion after it announced 265% year over year revenue growth plus optimistic projections for next year. The AI era is here. https://www.reuters.com/..…
  • @hadley @hadley on x
    Let me tell you about a crazy time when the N in FAANG stood for Netflix, not Nvidia [image]
  • @pitdesi Sheel Mohnot on x
    Cramer on Nvidia in Sept 2022 - “short Nvidia, it's a loser” Stock was at $135 then, 17 months ago. He basically bottom-ticked it - it's been on a straight line up 5x+ to $770 where it trades today. He used the Ethereum merge to justify & said that AI “wasn't there” [video]
  • @sawyermerritt Sawyer Merritt on x
    Nvidia's market cap hit $2 trillion today, which means in just the last 84 trading days it has added $1 trillion to its market cap🤯 [image]
  • @jimchuong @jimchuong on x
    People who have owned Nvidia stock for over a year [image]
  • @0xjaypeg Jay on x
    NVIDIA is worth more than the marketcap of every single cryptocurrency combined.. [image]
  • @netcapgirl Sophie on x
    nvidia earnings is the super bowl for people who spend all day on bloomberg & excel
  • @grdecter @grdecter on x
    Lord give me the confidence of an NVIDIA short-seller amidst the largest AI spending cycle we will see in our lifetime. [image]
  • @astutealligator @astutealligator on x
    Nvidia's market cap is now $2 Trillion. If Nvidia were a country it would be the 11th richest nation on earth. Nvidia's co-owner is a proud UF grad... For the love of all that is holy, somebody get this man an FV polo and a nice steak dinner with Scott Stricklin. [image]
  • @grdecter @grdecter on x
    Good Morning Everyone! NVIDIA short sellers have +$3 billion losses. Short sellers betting again semiconductor stocks in 2024 now have mark-to-market losses of +$7.2 billion. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index was up +65% in 2023 and is up another +12% this year. RIP short... […
  • @brij @brij on x
    Fascinating insights in this Jensen Huang's interview with Wired: Right now: “We're building a new type of data center. We call it an AI factory. The way data centers are built today, you have a lot of people sharing one cluster of computers and putting their files in this one...
  • @benbajarin Ben Bajarin on x
    With all the Nvidia hype, most won't take the time, but it is important to understand why the GPU is the right architecture at the right time right now for AI. It all steps back to Jensen's vision for GPGPU computing and 20+ years of execution on that vision.
  • @laurengoode Lauren Goode on x
    New: When I asked Huang about meeting demand for Nvidia's GPUs, he said: “I don't think we're going to catch up on supply this year. Not this year, and probably not next year.” He also confirmed Blackwell as the next generation of GPUs. Much more here https://www.wired.com/...
  • @sandraupson Sandra Upson on x
    Nvidia is worth almost $2 trillion. Insane. As @LaurenGoode writes, “Jensen Huang is either uncannily good at what he does or ridiculously lucky—or both!—and everyone wants to know how he does it.” She digs into just that in @wired's latest Big Interview https://www.wired.com/...