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Chronicles

The story behind the story

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US data center developers, facing grid access wait times of up to seven years, are turning to aeroderivative turbines and diesel generators to power the AI boom

Two industries I follow closely converged in an unexpected way this week: aviation and data centres. … Adil Mohammad : ⚡ What does it actually take to power an AI revolution?  ⚡  —  While the world focuses on LLMs and neural networks … Bluesky: Dr Heidy Khlaaf / @heidykhlaaf : So not only are energy industries deregulating for AI, risking catastrophic accidents, but they're accelerating the use of the most polluting energy sources during a climate collapse.  This is a death spiral.  —  www.ft.com/content/8deb... Kimmes / @real-me : “The incentives have never been greater for any sort of technology that can supply power,” said Kasparas Spokas, director of the Clean Air Task Force's electricity programme.  [embedded post] @climatecentreuk : AI Data Centres Pay Double for Quick Power  —  To beat years-long grid waits, AI data centres use aircraft engines and generators.  BNP Paribas calculates on-site power costs nearly twice normal electricity, raising questions about how long this inefficient workaround can last.  —  www.ft.com/content/8deb... John Kostyack / @kostyack : Using fossil fuels to power data centers is bad for your lungs & wallets, especially if the fossil fuels are burned behind-the-meter with aeroderivative turbines (jet engines) & diesel generators.  But developers can't wait for grid connections & modern turbines, so brace yourselves.

Financial Times Martha Muir

Context & Ripple Effects

The buildout of AI facilities has already been colliding with electricity-system constraints: earlier coverage projected sharply rising data-center consumption, while reporting also found AI demand encouraging fossil-fuel investment where renewable output does not match computing loads. This report shows grid-connection timing becoming an operational constraint rather than a back-office permitting issue.

The move also deepens a conflict visible in coverage of data centers’ strained sustainability commitments and their search for experimental clean-power options: developers need dependable capacity now, while cleaner long-duration alternatives are not yet broadly available at the required pace.

First-order effects

  • Developers with long interconnection waits can bring AI facilities online sooner by installing aeroderivative turbines and diesel generation on site, but accept substantially higher power costs than grid supply.
  • The immediate power mix for affected facilities becomes more fossil-intensive, increasing local pollution, safety, and climate exposure flagged by experts.

Second-order effects

  • Grid access becomes a sharper competitive differentiator: developers able to secure connections or finance interim generation can advance projects while rivals remain delayed.
  • Demand shifts toward distributed-generation equipment and fuel supply, reinforcing the fossil investment response to AI energy demand even as developers continue to seek cleaner alternatives.

Third-order effects

  • If grid queues remain lengthy, AI-compute deployment will increasingly be shaped by power-delivery timelines and on-site generation economics, not solely by chips, land, or data-center construction.
  • This could pressure utilities, regulators, and developers to reconcile faster interconnection and reliability needs with pollution and decarbonization goals; the eventual balance remains uncertain.

The trend: AI infrastructure is becoming utility-constrained infrastructure, with developers using costly interim power to bridge the gap between compute demand and grid capacity.

Discussion

  • @heidykhlaaf Dr Heidy Khlaaf on bluesky
    So not only are energy industries deregulating for AI, risking catastrophic accidents, but they're accelerating the use of the most polluting energy sources during a climate collapse.  This is a death spiral.  —  www.ft.com/content/8deb...
  • @real-me Kimmes on bluesky
    “The incentives have never been greater for any sort of technology that can supply power,” said Kasparas Spokas, director of the Clean Air Task Force's electricity programme.  [embedded post]
  • @climatecentreuk @climatecentreuk on bluesky
    AI Data Centres Pay Double for Quick Power  —  To beat years-long grid waits, AI data centres use aircraft engines and generators.  BNP Paribas calculates on-site power costs nearly twice normal electricity, raising questions about how long this inefficient workaround can last.  …
  • @kostyack John Kostyack on bluesky
    Using fossil fuels to power data centers is bad for your lungs & wallets, especially if the fossil fuels are burned behind-the-meter with aeroderivative turbines (jet engines) & diesel generators.  But developers can't wait for grid connections & modern turbines, so brace yoursel…