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VOICE ARCHIVE

@mingchikuo

@mingchikuo
189 posts
2026-01-15
TSMC announced 2026 capex of US$52-56bn at today's earnings call, with strong Nvidia demand as the key driver. 1. Ahead of the call, sell-side analysts and media generally expected 2026 capex of US$45-52bn, while the buy side was already at US$53-56bn. 2. TSMC is typically [image]
2026-01-15 View on X
Bloomberg

TSMC projects $52B to $56B in 2026 capital spending, up 25%+ from 2025, and forecasts close to 30% YoY revenue growth in 2026, both above analyst estimates

Bloomberg:NEW

TSMC announced 2026 capex of US$52-56bn at today's earnings call, with strong Nvidia demand as the key driver. 1. Ahead of the call, sell-side analysts and media generally expected 2026 capex of US$45-52bn, while the buy side was already at US$53-56bn. 2. TSMC is typically [image]
2026-01-15 View on X
Culpium

Sources: Apple now needs to fight for TSMC production capacity amid the AI boom; Nvidia was likely TSMC's top customer in at least one or two quarters in 2025

Here Are 3 ETFs That Cut Magnificent 7 RiskAdam Clark /Barron's Online:Nvidia Stock Pops. Trump, TSMC Are Boosting the AI Chip Maker.Laura Bratton /Yahoo Finance:Chip stocks jump a...

TSMC announced 2026 capex of US$52-56bn at today's earnings call, with strong Nvidia demand as the key driver. 1. Ahead of the call, sell-side analysts and media generally expected 2026 capex of US$45-52bn, while the buy side was already at US$53-56bn. 2. TSMC is typically [image]
2026-01-15 View on X
Reuters

TSMC reports Q4 net profit up 35% YoY to a record ~$16B, above $15.17B est., as it benefited from surging demand for AI chips and hit $100B in 2025 revenue

TSMC, the world's largest contract chipmaker, posted a 35% jump in fourth-quarter net profit on Thursday, beating market forecasts and hitting a record …

2026-01-13
A quick take on the Apple-Google AI partnership I was on the MM Podcast about a month and a half ago, where we talked about the Apple-Google AI partnership. Here are the main takeaways from that part of the conversation (from ~38:50 to 45:20). I've lightly edited the text below
2026-01-13 View on X
MacRumors

Apple and Google say Apple Foundation Models based on Gemini will help power not only a more personalized Siri, but also “future Apple Intelligence features”

Joe Rossignol /MacRumors:

A quick take on the Apple-Google AI partnership I was on the MM Podcast about a month and a half ago, where we talked about the Apple-Google AI partnership. Here are the main takeaways from that part of the conversation (from ~38:50 to 45:20). I've lightly edited the text below
2026-01-13 View on X
MacRumors

Elon Musk says Apple and Google's Gemini deal “seems like an unreasonable concentration of power for Google, given that [they] also have Android and Chrome”

Elon Musk today expressed concern about Apple and Google partnering on a more personalized version of Siri powered by Google's generative AI platform Gemini.

A quick take on the Apple-Google AI partnership I was on the MM Podcast about a month and a half ago, where we talked about the Apple-Google AI partnership. Here are the main takeaways from that part of the conversation (from ~38:50 to 45:20). I've lightly edited the text below
2026-01-13 View on X
CNBC

Apple signs a multiyear Google deal to use Gemini models to power a more personalized Siri in 2026, saying Google's tech “provides the most capable foundation”

Apple is joining forces with Google to power its artificial intelligence features for products such as Siri later this year.

2026-01-06
Key Updates on NVIDIA Vera Rubin/VR200 NVL72 (Integrating my latest supply chain checks and NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang's CES 2026 keynote) 1. NVIDIA has renamed the AI server VR200 NVL144 (die-based) to VR200 NVL72 (package-based). My supply chain checks indicate VR200 NVL72 will
2026-01-06 View on X
The Verge

Nvidia launches the Vera Rubin platform, saying it will offer dramatic reductions in inference and training costs compared to Blackwell, across six new chips

The Rubin GPU boasts five times more AI training compute power than Blackwell. … Nvidia is kicking off 2026 …

2025-09-18
Key Industry Takeaways from Nvidia's $5 Billion Investment in Intel 1. Partnership Could Define and Accelerate the AI PC Landscape For Nvidia, developing its own Windows-on-ARM processors carries high uncertainty; for Intel, establishing a competitive edge in GPUs is difficult.
2025-09-18 View on X
Tom's Hardware

Nvidia and Intel partner to develop multiple generations of x86 products; Nvidia will buy $5B of Intel's stock at $23.28 per share, a ~5% stake; INTC jumps 25%+

Cats and Dogs, living together!  —  In a surprising announcement that finds two long-time rivals working together …

2025-09-17
MacBook models will feature a touch panel for the first time, further blurring the line with the iPad. This shift appears to reflect Apple's long-term observation of iPad user behavior, indicating that in certain scenarios, touch controls can enhance both productivity and the
2025-09-17 View on X
MacRumors

Kuo: an OLED MacBook Pro with a touchscreen is set to enter mass production by late 2026, while a cheaper MacBook with an iPhone chip won't have the touch panel

Apple's first OLED MacBook Pro, set to enter mass production next year, will feature a touch screen display, according to Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo.

2025-07-01
Everwin Set to Benefit from All-New More-Affordable MacBook & Apple's 2027 Smart Glasses
2025-07-01 View on X
9to5Mac

Kuo: Apple plans to launch a cheaper, ~13" MacBook powered by iPhone 16 Pro's A18 Pro chip, expected to enter mass production in late Q4 2025 or early Q1 2026

9to5mac.com/2025/06/30/f...  [embedded post] Ernie Smith / @ernie.tedium.co : Interesting.  I sort of struggle to see why Apple would want to ruin the separation between the M seri...

2025-06-30
I believe—and I doubt anyone would disagree—that Apple could build the best Meta Ray-Ban-like smart glasses on the market.  Yet its decision-making in this area has been surprisingly slow.  Putting AI aside for a moment, this category could cannibalize at least some AirPods demand, directly impacting Apple's hardware business.  Still, the company has remained conspicuously inactive...
2025-06-30 View on X
9to5Mac

Kuo expects Apple to mass produce a Vision Pro with M5 in Q3 2025, a Vision Air in Q3 2027, a Vision Pro with a new design and XR glasses in H2 2028, and more

In a blog post today, analyst Ming-Chi Kuo detailed his updated roadmap forecast for Apple's headset and smart glasses markets.

Everwin Set to Benefit from All-New More-Affordable MacBook & Apple's 2027 Smart Glasses
2025-06-30 View on X
9to5Mac

Kuo: Apple plans a cheaper MacBook powered by iPhone 16 Pro's A18 Pro chip and with a ~13" display, expected to enter mass production in late 2025 or early 2026

Apple's current entry-level laptop is the $999 MacBook Air, but analyst Ming-Chi Kuo believes Apple is aiming to launch an even more affordable model soon.

I believe—and I doubt anyone would disagree—that Apple could build the best Meta Ray-Ban-like smart glasses on the market.  Yet its decision-making in this area has been surprisingly slow.  Putting AI aside for a moment, this category could cannibalize at least some AirPods demand, directly impacting Apple's hardware business.  Still, the company has remained conspicuously inactive...
2025-06-30 View on X
9to5Mac

Kuo: Apple plans a cheaper MacBook powered by iPhone 16 Pro's A18 Pro chip and with a ~13" display, expected to enter mass production in late 2025 or early 2026

Apple's current entry-level laptop is the $999 MacBook Air, but analyst Ming-Chi Kuo believes Apple is aiming to launch an even more affordable model soon.

2025-05-24
In terms of profitability, it's way better for Apple to take the hit of a 25% tariff on iPhones sold in the US market than to move iPhone assembly lines back to US. https://truthsocial.com/... [image]
2025-05-24 View on X
CNBC

Trump says a 25%+ tariff “must be paid by Apple” on iPhones not made in the US, and he told Tim Cook long ago that iPhones sold in the US must be made in the US

will other tech companies face the heat? Here's what the US President said The Economic Times : Trump threatens 25% tariff on iPhones not made in US, targets India production Scott...

Here are a few additional points: 1.  The specific tariff percentage Trump proposes on iPhones isn't the main concern.  The bigger issue is that this is Trump's second recent pointed comment targeting Apple—a warning sign Apple can't ignore.  2. Apple's top priority in negotiations...
2025-05-24 View on X
CNBC

Trump says a 25%+ tariff “must be paid by Apple” on iPhones not made in the US, and he told Tim Cook long ago that iPhones sold in the US must be made in the US

will other tech companies face the heat? Here's what the US President said The Economic Times : Trump threatens 25% tariff on iPhones not made in US, targets India production Scott...

Here are a few additional points: 1.  The specific tariff percentage Trump proposes on iPhones isn't the main concern.  The bigger issue is that this is Trump's second recent pointed comment targeting Apple—a warning sign Apple can't ignore.  2. Apple's top priority in negotiations...
2025-05-24 View on X
Bloomberg

President Trump says that the tariffs he has threatened against Apple would also be aimed at “Samsung and anybody that makes that product”

“It would be more,” Trump said when asked at the White House whether his tariff threat would only apply to Apple.

In terms of profitability, it's way better for Apple to take the hit of a 25% tariff on iPhones sold in the US market than to move iPhone assembly lines back to US. https://truthsocial.com/... [image]
2025-05-24 View on X
Bloomberg

President Trump says that the tariffs he has threatened against Apple would also be aimed at “Samsung and anybody that makes that product”

“It would be more,” Trump said when asked at the White House whether his tariff threat would only apply to Apple.

2025-05-22
My industry research indicates the following regarding the new AI hardware device from Jony Ive's collaboration with OpenAI: 1. Mass production is expected to start in 2027. 2. Assembly and shipping will occur outside China to reduce geopolitical risks, with Vietnam currently the [image]
2025-05-22 View on X
The Verge

Kuo: Ive and Altman's device could be larger than Humane's AI pin, may connect to smartphones and PCs to use their computing and display capabilities, and more

Supply chain analyst Ming-Chi Kuo is mostly known for Apple rumors, and now says users might be able to wear OpenAI's future device around their neck.

My industry research indicates the following regarding the new AI hardware device from Jony Ive's collaboration with OpenAI: 1. Mass production is expected to start in 2027. 2. Assembly and shipping will occur outside China to reduce geopolitical risks, with Vietnam currently the [image]
2025-05-22 View on X
Bloomberg

OpenAI acquires io, Jony Ive's secretive AI startup, for nearly $6.5B in stock; Ive and LoveFrom will remain independent but take over design for all of OpenAI

OpenAI will acquire the AI device startup co-founded by Apple Inc. veteran Jony Ive in a nearly $6.5 billion all-stock deal …

2025-05-02
From the latest earnings call, Apple expects that the majority of iPhones sold in the U.S. in 2Q25 will have India as their country of origin.  This trend aligns with my earlier prediction that India will exclusively manufacture and export iPhones to the U.S. market starting in 2Q25.  Why did Apple say ‘majority’?  Because some of the iPhones that will be sold in the U.S. market in 2Q25 were made in China in 1Q25.
2025-05-02 View on X
Wall Street Journal

On its Q2 call, Apple said that a “majority” of iPhones sold in the US in Q3 will come from India while “nearly all” of its other devices will come from Vietnam

www.wsj.com/tech/apple-a... Steve Kovach / @stevekovach : More highlights: Cook says in current quarter over half of phones sold in U.S. come from India.  Government subsidies in C...