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VOICE ARCHIVE

Liron Shapira

@liron
52 posts
2025-12-22
This AGI capability scale didn't even exist before 2020, yet whatever tech cascade it's measuring is incredibly robust, and shows no sign of S curving before blowing past human level. This is the WaitButWhy train whizzing past human station scenario.
2025-12-22 View on X
@metr_evals

METR: Claude Opus 4.5 has a 50% task completion time horizon of about 4 hours and 49 minutes, more than double that of Claude Opus 4 released earlier this year

just careful, meticulous rigor. Nikola Jurkovic / @nikolaj2030 : This result updates me towards 4 month doubling times being my median estimate for the next two years. That means b...

2025-12-21
This AGI capability scale didn't even exist before 2020, yet whatever tech cascade it's measuring is incredibly robust, and shows no sign of S curving before blowing past human level. This is the WaitButWhy train whizzing past human station scenario.
2025-12-21 View on X
@metr_evals

METR: Claude Opus 4.5 has a 50% task completion time horizon of about 4 hours and 49 minutes, more than double that of Claude Opus 4 released earlier this year

We estimate that, on our tasks, Claude Opus 4.5 has a 50%-time horizon of around 4 hrs 49 mins (95% confidence interval of 1 hr 49 mins to 20 hrs 25 mins). While we're still workin...

2025-11-18
The AI won't tell anyone when it's taken over the internet, but there will be signs [image]
2025-11-18 View on X
The Independent

Cloudflare says “a fix has been implemented and we believe the incident is now resolved”, after a major outage impacted X, ChatGPT, and others from 11:48am UTC

Outage comes around a month after Amazon Web Services outage also took much of the internet offline

2025-10-30
Today's Extropic launch raises some new red flags. I started following this company when they refused to explain the input/output spec of what they're building, leaving us waiting to get clarification.) Here are 3 red flags from today: 1. From https://extropic.ai/... [image]
2025-10-30 View on X
Wired

Extropic, which says its chips using probabilistic bits can be 10,000x more energy efficient than current AI chips, shares its first chip with some AI labs

A startup hopes to challenge Nvidia, AMD, and Intel with a chip that wrangles probabilities rather than 1s and 0s.

2025-10-22
Amazingly, most people in the world already agree with this Superintelligence Statement, AFAICT. It's now just a matter of mobilizing to action. A sense of urgency is the bottleneck. Time is limited.
2025-10-22 View on X
NBC News

Prince Harry and 800+ public figures sign a Future of Life Institute statement urging a ban on AI superintelligence development until it can be deployed safely

The call, signed by Nobel laureates, ex-military leaders and public figures worldwide, seeks a ban on research that could create machines smarter than people.

2025-06-24
@deedydas Reminds me of when he couldn't get Scarlett Johansson so he tweeted “Her” and released the “Skye” voice. At the time I didn't think it was a big deal, but now the dots may be starting to connect, like he kind of likes to get caught with this stuff.
2025-06-24 View on X
TechCrunch

Court filings from in-ear hardware device startup iyO's trademark dispute lawsuit against OpenAI detail OpenAI and io's efforts to build a mass-market AI device

From iyO's home page: … Like I wrote yesterday, I'd never heard of iyO before. Alex Hughes / Tom's Guide : OpenAI court filings just revealed new details on AI device with Jony Ive...

2024-11-01
This is a good post. Kudos to @AnthropicAI [image]
2024-11-01 View on X
Anthropic

Anthropic says governments should urgently take action on AI policy in the next 18 months and suggests principles for AI regulation that support innovation

Increasingly powerful AI systems have the potential to accelerate scientific progress, unlock new medical treatments, and grow the economy.

2024-09-14
ChatGPT o1-preview is scary good. This is 100% how a human reasons. [image]
2024-09-14 View on X
Simon Willison's Weblog

OpenAI's o1 models aren't a straightforward upgrade to GPT-4o, as they introduce some major cost and performance trade-offs in exchange for improved “reasoning”

delving into OpenAI's new ‘o1’ model PYMNTS.com : OpenAI's ‘Strawberry’ Model Sparks Fresh Discussions on AI Capabilities M.G. Siegler / Spyglass : OpenAI Reasons ‘o1’ is a Better ...

2024-06-20
📎 Hey Ilya, I notice you're desperately trying to save the world from the efforts of @sama, @ylecun, etc, via a plan that depends on racing past their safety and capabilities simultaneously. Given the stakes, why not align words & actions? Why not go public with your criticism?
2024-06-20 View on X
Safe Superintelligence Inc.

Ilya Sutskever, Daniel Gross, and Daniel Levy announce Safe Superintelligence, a US startup “with one goal and one product: a safe superintelligence”

Superintelligence is within reach.  Building safe superintelligence (SSI) is the most important technical problem of our time.

2024-05-29
Helen Toner (@hlntnr), former OpenAI board member, is finally going on record about firing Sam Altman: 😱 “He gave us inaccurate information about the small number of formal safety processes that the company did have in place.” 😱 “When ChatGPT came out, the board was not [video]
2024-05-29 View on X
Bloomberg

In a podcast, ex-OpenAI board member Helen Toner says the board learned of ChatGPT's launch on Twitter, criticizes Sam Altman's leadership on safety, and more

- Helen Toner spoke about Sam Altman's firing in a new podcast  — Toner has called for more regulation around AI safety

2024-05-19
NOW can we stop the ad hominem attacks on the “type of people” warning us about AI extinction risk? Is it enough that 4 of TOP LEADERS hand-selected by Sam Altman to build OpenAI have pulled the alarm? * Dario Amodei * Paul Christiano * Ilya Sutskever * Jan Leike
2024-05-19 View on X
Wired

OpenAI's entire Superalignment team, which was focused on the existential dangers of AI, has either resigned or been absorbed into other research groups

Company insiders explain why safety-conscious employees are leaving. https://www.vox.com/... vs #ai #openai X: Sam Altman / @sama : i'm super appreciative of @janleike's contributi...

2024-05-18
NOW can we stop the ad hominem attacks on the “type of people” warning us about AI extinction risk? Is it enough that 4 of TOP LEADERS hand-selected by Sam Altman to build OpenAI have pulled the alarm? * Dario Amodei * Paul Christiano * Ilya Sutskever * Jan Leike
2024-05-18 View on X
Wired

OpenAI's entire Superalignment team, which was focused on the existential dangers of AI, has either resigned or been absorbed into other research groups

During my twenties in Silicon Valley, I ran among elite tech/AI circles through the community house scene. I have seen some troubling things around social circles of early OpenAI A...

NOW can we stop the ad hominem attacks on the “type of people” warning us about AI extinction risk? Is it enough that 4 of TOP LEADERS hand-selected by Sam Altman to build OpenAI have pulled the alarm? * Dario Amodei * Paul Christiano * Ilya Sutskever * Jan Leike
2024-05-18 View on X
@janleike

[Thread] Superalignment team co-lead explains why he has left, says OpenAI's safety culture and processes took a backseat to shiny products over the past years

Yesterday was my last day as head of alignment, superalignment lead, and executive @OpenAI.

2024-04-20
Dwarkesh calmly shreds Zuck's argument for open-sourcing AGI. The flimsy wishful thinking behind Meta's reckless actions has been exposed. Another incredible job by @dwarkesh_sp. [video]
2024-04-20 View on X
Dwarkesh Podcast

Q&A with Mark Zuckerberg on Llama 3, buying H100s for Reels' launch, AGI, energy constraints, dangers of open source, metaverse, Meta's custom silicon, and more

Dwarkesh Patel / Dwarkesh Podcast :

2024-03-06
For god's sake, change the name [image]
2024-03-06 View on X
Bloomberg

OpenAI fires back at Elon Musk's lawsuit, accusing Musk of suing when the company “started making meaningful progress towards OpenAI's mission without him”

Musk filed the lawsuit last week against OpenAI, Chief Executive Officer Sam Altman and President Greg Brockman …

2023-11-23
@OpenAI [image]
2023-11-23 View on X
The Information

Source: a breakthrough spearheaded by OpenAI chief scientist Ilya Sutskever enabled a model that could solve basic math problems, stoking excitement and concern

One day before he was fired by OpenAI's board last week, Sam Altman alluded to a recent technical advance the company …

@OpenAI [image]
2023-11-23 View on X
Axios

OpenAI reaches a deal in principle for Sam Altman to return as CEO, with an initial board of Bret Taylor as chair, alongside Larry Summers and Adam D'Angelo

4 key takeaways Jason Dorrier / Singularity Hub : OpenAI Mayhem: What We Know Now, Don't Know Yet, and What Could Be Next New York Times : Explaining OpenAI's Board Shake-Up CNBC :...

2023-11-22
@OpenAI [image]
2023-11-22 View on X
Axios

OpenAI reaches a deal in principle for Sam Altman to return as CEO, with an initial board of Bret Taylor as Chair alongside Larry Summers and Adam D'Angelo

OpenAI said late Tuesday that it had reached a deal in principle for Sam Altman to return as CEO, with a new board chaired by former Salesforce co-CEO Bret Taylor.

2023-11-20
AI existential risk should make you “shit your pants” —@eshear, Interim CEO of OpenAI [video]
2023-11-20 View on X
TechCrunch

Satya Nadella says Sam Altman, Greg Brockman, and OpenAI staff will join Microsoft's new “advanced AI research team” and Microsoft remains committed to OpenAI

Microsoft has hired OpenAI co-founders Sam Altman and Greg Brockman to head up a “new advanced AI research team,” …

2023-08-22
Come on, this is literally the same racket BitClout pulled in 2021: Become the hot new nonsensical crypto “asset class”, enjoy viral Ponzi growth as everyone piles in thinking they're getting in on the ground floor by buying their network, then watch it all bust like a tomato.
2023-08-22 View on X
CoinDesk

Friend.tech, which lets people use crypto to buy “shares” of X accounts, hits 100K users, per a database of wallet addresses that has raised privacy concerns

but it feels like I'm selling my body. And I like it. [image] Jeremy Allaire / @jerallaire : Funny, I was saying the exact same thing to a group of users on https://friend.tech/. T...